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Fri 18 Sept · 16:00

SJK vs Mariehamn prediction

Round
Relegation Group - 25
Venue
OmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki
Referee
Dennis Antamo, Finland
Form

Recent form

SJK
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -3 goal difference

Mariehamn
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
SJK or Draw

BetGenius backs SJK or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

SJK host Mariehamn at OmaSP Stadion in a crucial Relegation Group encounter, with both sides seeking vital points to secure their top-flight status. SJK sit tenth in the standings on 19 points and enter this clash following three consecutive draws, including consecutive clean sheets against AC Oulu and Turku PS. While victories have been hard to come by for the hosts, their home form remains relatively steady with 16 goals scored across 11 outings.

Mariehamn occupy bottom place in the table on 14 points despite an impressive recent resurgence that has seen them win four of their last five matches. That run included a 2-0 victory over SJK in mid-August. However, their broader away record remains a significant concern, having suffered ten defeats in 12 road fixtures while conceding 28 goals on their travels.

With SJK looking to capitalise on home advantage where they previously defeated Mariehamn 3-0 in April, and Mariehamn eager to build momentum from their recent victories, this encounter is poised to be a closely contested battle between two direct relegation rivals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Mariehamn have lost 10 of their 12 away league games this season, conceding 28 goals.
  2. SJK have won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between the two clubs.
  3. SJK enter the match on a three-game unbeaten run, having drawn three consecutive fixtures.
  4. Mariehamn have failed to score in seven of their 12 away matches this campaign.
  5. The previous meeting at SJK this season resulted in a 3-0 victory for the home side.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

SJK at homeMariehamn away
11
Played
12
3-3-5
W-D-L
1-1-10
1.5
Scored /game
0.8
1.4
Conceded /game
2.3
18%
Clean sheets
0%
18%
Failed to score
58%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (SJK at home plus Mariehamn away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
11FF JaroRelegation Play-offs22-2615
12MariehamnRelegation Play-offs22-2614
History

Head-to-head

7
SJK
0
Draws
3
Mariehamn

SJK have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-15Mariehamn2-0SJK
  • 2026-04-10SJK3-0Mariehamn
  • 2025-06-28SJK4-1Mariehamn
  • 2025-04-19Mariehamn1-2SJK
  • 2024-07-21Mariehamn0-4SJK
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
SJK or Draw
74%
Confidence

SJK have avoided defeat in six of their 11 home matches this season and are coming into this fixture on a three-match unbeaten run of draws. While Mariehamn have won four of their last five matches overall, their away form throughout the campaign has been poor, resulting in ten losses from 12 road games with 28 goals conceded. SJK have also historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including a convincing 3-0 home victory against Mariehamn in April.

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Published September 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.