BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos
Form

Recent form

Sporting Lagos
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Bendel Insurance
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Sporting Lagos or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Sporting Lagos or Draw (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Sporting Lagos enter matchday eight looking to secure their first home victory of the campaign. The Lagos-based club sits tenth in the table with nine points, having put together a sequence of three consecutive draws against Kano Pillars, Ikorodu City, and Barau FC. While their attack has produced just one goal across three home games, they have remained competitive and difficult to put away.

Bendel Insurance occupy fifth spot with twelve points, but their season exhibits an extreme home-and-away split. While they boast a perfect record of four wins from four at home, they have dropped all three of their away fixtures, scoring only once while conceding six goals on their travels.

With Sporting Lagos conceding an average of only one goal per game at home and Bendel Insurance struggling to produce on the road, this fixture projects to be a cagey, low-scoring encounter where the hosts have a strong platform to pick up points.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sporting Lagos at homeBendel Insurance away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
0-0-4
0.8
Scored /game
0.5
1
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Sporting Lagos at home plus Bendel Insurance away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rivers UnitedPromotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)9+1117
2Enugu RangersPromotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)8+517
3Sporting LagosPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)9+215
4Plateau UnitedPromotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)9+414
5Barau FC9+314
6Nasarawa United9+214
7Kano Pillars9+114
8Doma United9014
9Ikorodu City9+212
10Bendel Insurance8+112
11Niger Tornadoes9012
12Katsina United9-212
13Kwara United9011
History

Head-to-head

2
Sporting Lagos
0
Draws
1
Bendel Insurance

Sporting Lagos have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-10-11Sporting Lagos2-1Bendel Insurance
  • 2024-02-18Sporting Lagos1-0Bendel Insurance
  • 2024-01-20Bendel Insurance3-1Sporting Lagos
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Our record in NPFL

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Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Sporting Lagos or Draw
68%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Sporting Lagos have managed only one goal across three home matches this season, averaging 0.3 goals scored per game and failing to find the net twice. Bendel Insurance mirror that lack of away punch, having scored just once across three road matches with an identical 0.3 goals per game average away from home. Their previous clash at this venue concluded in a tight 1-0 scoreline, pointing toward another low-scoring contest under the 2.5 goal line.

Sporting Lagos or Draw — 68% confidence

Bendel Insurance have suffered three defeats from three away matches in the league, failing to collect a single point away from their home ground. Sporting Lagos arrive unbeaten in their last three outings, having earned three straight draws, and they took all three points with a 1-0 victory in the previous head-to-head meeting hosted on their ground.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Sporting Lagos or Draw
68%
Confidence

Bendel Insurance have suffered three defeats from three away matches in the league, failing to collect a single point away from their home ground. Sporting Lagos arrive unbeaten in their last three outings, having earned three straight draws, and they took all three points with a 1-0 victory in the previous head-to-head meeting hosted on their ground.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Sporting Lagos have managed only one goal across three home matches this season, averaging 0.3 goals scored per game and failing to find the net twice. Bendel Insurance mirror that lack of away punch, having scored just once across three road matches with an identical 0.3 goals per game average away from home. Their previous clash at this venue concluded in a tight 1-0 scoreline, pointing toward another low-scoring contest under the 2.5 goal line.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.