BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liege
Referee
Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
Form

Recent form

Standard Liege
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -4 goal difference

Charleroi
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Charleroi or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Charleroi or Draw (Combo Bet) at 65% confidence — a solid call.

65%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Standard Liege welcome Charleroi to the Stade Maurice Dufrasne sitting seventh in the Jupiler Pro League on 11 points after seven rounds. The hosts enter this match seeking to halt a dip in form, having dropped their last three fixtures across all competitions, including league setbacks against Gent and KVC Westerlo. However, their home record in domestic play remains stable, with two victories and one draw from three league outings.

Charleroi travel to Liege in formidable shape, occupying fourth place in the standings with 18 points and sitting just one point off the league summit. The visitors have compiled a flawless away record so far, securing three wins from three road trips while allowing only a single goal. With six victories from seven league games overall, their defensive organization away from home has provided a strong platform.

Head-to-head history points toward closely fought contests with limited scoring. Over their last ten encounters, Charleroi have earned four wins to Standard Liege's three, with three draws. Their most recent clash in May 2026 saw Charleroi take a 2-0 victory at this venue, reinforcing their capability to get a result in Liege.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Standard Liege at homeCharleroi away
4
Played
4
2-1-1
W-D-L
4-0-0
1.3
Scored /game
1.5
0.8
Conceded /game
0.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Standard Liege at home plus Charleroi away).

Players

Key players this season

Standard Liege

  • D. Eckert Ayensa4G
  • C. Nielsen3A

Charleroi

  • P. Pflücke3A
  • J. Romsaas3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1GentPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1122
2Club Brugge KVPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1521
3CharleroiPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+921
4Union St. GilloisePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+1820
5Anderlecht8+316
6KVC Westerlo8+313
7Genk8+412
8Zulte Waregem8+111
9Standard Liege8011
10Lommel United8011
11SK Beveren8-69
12St. Truiden8-18
History

Head-to-head

3
Standard Liege
2
Draws
5
Charleroi

Charleroi have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-11Standard Liege0-1Charleroi
  • 2026-05-23Standard Liege0-2Charleroi
  • 2026-04-18Charleroi1-2Standard Liege
  • 2026-01-18Charleroi2-0Standard Liege
  • 2025-10-31Standard Liege3-1Charleroi
BetGenius

Our record in Jupiler Pro League

65%43 won from 66 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Charleroi or Draw
65%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 65% confidence

Venue-specific defensive records indicate a tight game. Charleroi have conceded an average of only 0.3 goals per match on their travels this season, while Standard Liege have conceded just 0.7 goals per home league match. Furthermore, head-to-head trends show that seven of the last ten meetings between these two sides finished under 2.5 goals, with the fixtures producing an average of exactly two goals per match.

Charleroi or Draw — 72% confidence

Charleroi come into this clash with strong league momentum, having won six of their opening seven fixtures and maintaining a perfect record of three wins from three away matches with only one goal conceded. Standard Liege have lost their last three matches across all competitions. Although the hosts remain unbeaten at home in league action with two wins and a draw, Charleroi's defensive discipline on the road and their 2-0 win in the most recent meeting at this stadium give them a solid opportunity to leave with at least a draw.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Charleroi or Draw
72%
Confidence

Charleroi come into this clash with strong league momentum, having won six of their opening seven fixtures and maintaining a perfect record of three wins from three away matches with only one goal conceded. Standard Liege have lost their last three matches across all competitions. Although the hosts remain unbeaten at home in league action with two wins and a draw, Charleroi's defensive discipline on the road and their 2-0 win in the most recent meeting at this stadium give them a solid opportunity to leave with at least a draw.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
Confidence

Venue-specific defensive records indicate a tight game. Charleroi have conceded an average of only 0.3 goals per match on their travels this season, while Standard Liege have conceded just 0.7 goals per home league match. Furthermore, head-to-head trends show that seven of the last ten meetings between these two sides finished under 2.5 goals, with the fixtures producing an average of exactly two goals per match.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.