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Sun 11 Oct · 16:00

Start vs Ham-Kam prediction

Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Referee
Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway
Form

Recent form

Start
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Ham-Kam
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Bottom-placed Start host thirteenth-placed Ham-Kam in round 23 of the Eliteserien, with both clubs heavily involved in the battle to avoid the drop. Start enter the fixture with 16 points from 21 games, sitting seven points adrift of their opponents. While Start have struggled for consistency throughout the campaign, they have gathered momentum in recent weeks with four victories across their last five matches in all competitions.

Ham-Kam travel south holding a precarious seven-point cushion over Start, but their away form has been a persistent weakness. Having registered only one win from 11 away league fixtures while conceding 25 goals on their travels, the visitors have struggled to contain opposing attacks outside their home venue. Ham-Kam have also conceded 14 goals over their last four matches in all competitions.

Both sides share identical defensive records in the league, with each conceding 44 goals across 21 matches at an average of 2.1 per fixture. Historical encounters between the two have consistently seen defensive lapses, with all seven recorded head-to-head meetings finishing with three or more total goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Start and Ham-Kam have both conceded 44 goals in 21 Eliteserien games this season, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per match.
  2. All seven previous head-to-head encounters produced over 2.5 goals, with an overall average of 4.0 goals per match.
  3. Ham-Kam have managed only one win in 11 away league fixtures, conceding 25 goals during that stretch.
  4. Start have scored in four of their last five matches across all competitions, including five goals against Raufoss in their most recent outing.
  5. Start must manage squad absences with defender O. Toure suspended and four players sidelined through injury.
Availability

Team news

Start

  • J. HuseboFoot Injury
  • F. ManojlovicHand Injury
  • K. TonnesenLeg Injury
  • E. SegbergYellow Cards

Ham-Kam

  • M. JohnsgardKnee Injury
  • B. IsufiElbow Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Start at homeHam-Kam away
11
Played
12
3-3-5
W-D-L
2-3-7
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
1.7
Conceded /game
2.3
18%
Clean sheets
8%
27%
Failed to score
33%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Start at home plus Ham-Kam away).

Players

Key players this season

Ham-Kam

  • P. Metcalfe6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
12Ham-Kam23-1526
13Sandefjord23-824
14AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)23-1224
15Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2419
16StartRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2916
History

Head-to-head

3
Start
0
Draws
5
Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 4.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 88% of them.

  • 2026-10-11Start2-4Ham-Kam
  • 2026-04-26Ham-Kam2-1Start
  • 2023-02-20Start2-1Ham-Kam
  • 2023-02-20Ham-Kam1-2Start
  • 2021-08-29Ham-Kam3-2Start
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

83%57 won from 69 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Both teams have demonstrated persistent defensive frailties throughout the league season, each conceding 44 goals in 21 fixtures. Start concede an average of 2.1 goals per game overall, while Ham-Kam surrender 2.3 goals per game on their travels, having shipped 25 times in 11 away matches. Across all seven recorded head-to-head meetings between these sides, every single fixture produced three or more goals, yielding an overall average of 4.0 goals per contest. With Ham-Kam conceding nine goals in their last two away league games and Start having scored in four of their last five matches, conditions point toward another open encounter with multiple goals.

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Published October 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.