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BundesligaBundesliga
14:30
Sun 25 Oct

Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction

Follow Sturm GrazFollow RiedFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz
Referee
Safak Barmaksiz

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Sturm Graz
76Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +7 goal difference

Ried
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Sturm Graz or Draw

BetGenius backs Sturm Graz or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Fourth-placed Sturm Graz host fifth-placed Ried in round ten of the Austrian Bundesliga, with only three points separating the two sides in the Championship Group positions. Sturm Graz have been dependable on home turf this season, recording three wins and a draw across four league matches while scoring ten goals and conceding just three.

Ried travel to Graz in positive form, having gone unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions. They have found the net in every league outing so far this season, though their away defensive record remains vulnerable with nine goals conceded in four road fixtures.

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favour Sturm Graz, who have won seven of the last ten encounters between the clubs, including the last four in a row. However, with Sturm Graz having played a European fixture against Marseille only three days earlier and carrying multiple absences, Ried have the attacking capability to test the hosts.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Sturm Graz are undefeated at home in the league this season with three wins, one draw, ten goals scored, and only three conceded.
  2. Ried have conceded nine goals in four away league fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals conceded per game on the road.
  3. Sturm Graz have won the last four meetings between the sides and seven of the last ten overall.
  4. Ried have scored in all nine of their league matches this season, but hold only one win from four away trips.
  5. Sturm Graz enter the contest on a short turnaround after their October 22 fixture against Marseille.
Availability

Team news

Sturm Graz

  • N. GeyrhoferOff the roster
  • L. GrgicKnee Injury
  • S. JattaShoulder Injury
  • O. KiteishviliCalf Injury
  • G. MamageishviliInjury
  • F. RozgaMuscle Injury
  • E. SogloMuscle Injury
  • N. WeiperInjury
  • S. WlodarczykOff the roster
  • D. KhudyakovInactive

Ried

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sturm Graz at homeRied away
4
Played
4
3-1-0
W-D-L
1-1-2
2.5
Scored /game
1.5
0.8
Conceded /game
2.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (Sturm Graz at home plus Ried away).

Players

Key players this season

Sturm Graz

  • O. Diakité6G
  • S. Seidl8A

Ried

  • A. Bajić3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Rapid ViennaPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9+1824
2Red Bull SalzburgPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9+1721
3Lask LinzPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9+1419
4Sturm GrazPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9+617
5RiedPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9+114
6WSG WattensPromotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)9-211
7TSV HartbergBundesliga (Relegation Group)9-411
8SCR AltachBundesliga (Relegation Group)10-69
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
7
Sturm Graz
2
Draws
1
Ried

Sturm Graz have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-02-08Sturm Graz1-0Ried
  • 2025-08-16Ried1-3Sturm Graz
  • 2024-08-28Ried1-3Sturm Graz
  • 2022-10-30Sturm Graz2-1Ried
  • 2022-08-06Ried1-1Sturm Graz
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

65%31 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Sturm Graz or Draw
76%
Confidence

Sturm Graz have established strong home form in the league, collecting ten points from a possible twelve at home with an average of 2.5 goals scored per match. In addition, Sturm Graz have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning seven of the past ten meetings and each of the last four. Ried have shown potent attacking form by scoring in every league fixture this term, but they have conceded 2.3 goals per game on their travels and managed only one win in four away matches. Backing Sturm Graz to win or draw covers the threat of a competitive stalemate while respecting the hosts' strong home record and historical superiority in this fixture.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.