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Tue 8 Sept · 19:45
Sunderland vs Hull City prediction
- Round
- Round of 32
- Venue
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
- Referee
- P. Tierney
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Sunderland
35Poor
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference
Hull City
26Very poor
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -3 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Draw No Bet
Sunderland (draw no bet)
BetGenius backs Sunderland (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Sunderland host Hull City at the Stadium of Light in the EFL Cup Round of 32, with both teams bringing solid recent form into this knockout clash. Sunderland have picked up two wins and a draw from their last four competitive fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory over Fulham and a 1-1 draw at Brentford.
Hull City arrive on the back of a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, built upon exceptional defensive discipline. The visitors have conceded only one goal across their last five outings, recording shutouts against Aston Villa, Coventry, Manchester United, and Nice.
However, Hull face significant squad management challenges heading into this cup tie, with eight players sidelined through injury. Given Sunderland's relatively clean bill of health and the history of low-scoring affairs between these two sides, this encounter is likely to be tightly contested.
Analysis
Key factors
- Hull City have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches, allowing only one goal in that sequence.
- The last four head-to-head fixtures between Sunderland and Hull City have all ended with a 1-0 scoreline.
- Hull City are missing eight players due to injury, significantly depleting their squad depth for this cup tie.
- Sunderland have suffered only one defeat in their last five matches, which included a 1-0 home win against Fulham.
- Across their last nine meetings, over 2.5 goals has landed in only 33.3 percent of games.
Availability
Team news
Sunderland
- R. MundleKnee Injury
- D. BallardMuscle Injury
- W. IsidorInjury
- T. MeunierMuscle Injury
- K. DansoRed Card
Hull City
- I. AnsahBack Injury
- J. ButlandArm Injury
- D. GyabiGroin Injury
- C. HughesGroin Injury
- E. MatazoKnee Injury
- N. MendyGroin Injury
- M. TargettAnkle Injury
- M. ChoMuscle Injury
- L. Gourna-DouathCalf Injury
- R. VazAchilles Tendon Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Sunderland at homeHull City away
3
Played
4
1-0-2
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.3
Scored /game
1
1.3
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Sunderland at home plus Hull City away).
History
Head-to-head
- 4
- Sunderland
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Hull City
Sunderland have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.
- 2026-09-08Sunderland1-0Hull City
- 2025-02-22Sunderland0-1Hull City
- 2024-10-20Hull City0-1Sunderland
- 2024-01-19Sunderland0-1Hull City
- 2023-12-26Hull City0-1Sunderland
BetGenius
Our record in EFL Cup
73%41 won from 56 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
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Combo BetWON
Draw No Bet
Sunderland (draw no bet)
68%
Confidence
Sunderland enter this knockout tie with home advantage and near-full squad availability, missing only H. Diarra. In contrast, Hull City are dealing with eight reported injuries, including J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, O. Zambrano, I. Ansah, M. Crooks, and J. Gelhardt. Backing Sunderland with the draw refund provides protection against Hull's defensive resilience while accounting for the hosts' squad depth advantage.
Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
75%
Confidence
Recent head-to-head meetings between Sunderland and Hull City have consistently produced low scorelines, with each of their last four clashes finishing with exactly one goal (1-0 or 0-1). Furthermore, only 33.3 percent of their previous nine encounters have exceeded 2.5 goals. Hull City have conceded just one goal across their last five matches, playing out two 0-0 draws and a 1-0 win in that span, making another low-scoring contest the most probable outcome.
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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.