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Sun 23 Aug · 19:45

Torino vs AC Milan prediction

Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Referee
Luca Zufferli, Italy
Form

Recent form

Torino
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +3 goal difference

AC Milan
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Torino or Draw

BetGenius backs Torino or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Torino host AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in their opening fixtures of the Serie A campaign. The Granata enter the match following a steady run in pre-season and cup fixtures, claiming 1-0 victories against Carrarese, Burnley, and Alcione, alongside a 1-1 draw with Avellino and a 0-1 loss to Cittadella.

AC Milan arrive in Turin grappling with substantial squad limitations. The Rossoneri will be without key attacking and defensive options, with R. Leao, C. Pulisic, and S. Gimenez sidelined through injury, while C. Nkunku, Y. Fofana, and F. Tomori are listed as inactive. Milan's recent matches featured mixed outcomes, including a 4-2 win against Manchester United, a 0-3 defeat to Chelsea, and a 1-1 draw with Inter.

Historically, this fixture has been closely contested. Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, both sides have won 4 matches each alongside 2 draws. However, at home, Torino have historically held the upper hand, recording 3 victories and 1 draw in their last 5 encounters hosting AC Milan.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. AC Milan are missing key forward and midfield assets, including R. Leao, C. Pulisic, S. Gimenez, C. Nkunku, and Y. Fofana.
  2. Torino have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 home head-to-head matches against AC Milan.
  3. Torino's last 5 fixtures have all seen under 2.5 total goals, including three 1-0 victories.
  4. Torino are missing only two players due to injury: E. Comert and F. Israel.
Availability

Team news

Torino

  • P. PellegriJumpers Knee

AC Milan

  • S. ChukwuezeHip Injury
  • M. GabbiaThigh Injury
  • A. SaelemaekersAnkle Injury
  • G. RamosCalf Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Torino at homeAC Milan away
3
Played
4
1-0-2
W-D-L
1-3-0
1
Scored /game
1.5
1.7
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Torino at home plus AC Milan away).

Players

Key players this season

Torino

  • R. Belghali3A

AC Milan

  • A. Rabiot4G · 3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1InterChampions League league stage7+1219
2LazioChampions League league stage7+1019
3AS RomaChampions League league stage7+1317
4AC MilanChampions League league stage7+715
5ComoEuropa League league stage7+514
6FrosinonePlay-offs7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari7-113
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
History

Head-to-head

4
Torino
1
Draws
5
AC Milan

AC Milan have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-08-23Torino1-2AC Milan
  • 2026-03-21AC Milan3-2Torino
  • 2025-12-08Torino2-3AC Milan
  • 2025-02-22Torino2-1AC Milan
  • 2024-08-17AC Milan2-2Torino
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

68%84 won from 123 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Torino or Draw
68%
Confidence

AC Milan are severely depleted with injuries to R. Leao, C. Pulisic, and S. Gimenez, alongside the unavailability of C. Nkunku, Y. Fofana, and F. Tomori. Torino have won 3 of their last 5 home H2H matches against Milan and have shown defensive resilience, conceding no more than one goal in each of their last five matches.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.