BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Referee
Phoebe Cross
Form

Recent form

Tottenham Hotspur W
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -4 goal difference

Arsenal W
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur W host Arsenal W in the Women's Super League looking to steady their campaign after a difficult fortnight. Tottenham enter the derby sitting fourth in the table with 10 points from six matches, having scored 18 goals while conceding 14. After back-to-back heavy defeats against London City Lionesses (1-6) and Chelsea (2-6), Spurs will be determined to tighten their defensive structure while maintaining their prolific attack led by V. Pelova, who has five goals this season.

Arsenal W make the short trip sitting eighth in the standings with six points from six matches, recording one win, three draws, and two losses. Jonas Eidevall's side has struggled for attacking fluency in domestic action, scoring just five goals and conceding seven. Recent outings have seen a 1-1 draw with Birmingham City and a 2-4 defeat to Manchester City, underscoring both defensive vulnerabilities on the road and an inability to turn territorial control into victories.

Historically, Arsenal have held the upper hand in this rivalry, winning seven of the last ten meetings, including a 5-2 victory in their most recent encounter in March 2026. However, with Tottenham scoring at an average of three goals per game and conceding over two per game, this derby promises an open contest with clear chances at both ends.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Tottenham Hotspur fixtures have produced 32 total goals in six league matches, averaging 5.3 goals per game.
  2. Tottenham have scored in all six league matches this season, with V. Pelova leading the attack with five goals.
  3. Spurs have conceded 12 goals across their last two league games, losing 1-6 to London City Lionesses and 2-6 to Chelsea.
  4. Arsenal have conceded six goals in their last two competitive away trips, including four against Manchester City.
  5. Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs have produced over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.6 goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tottenham Hotspur W at homeArsenal W away
3
Played
3
2-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-2
2.7
Scored /game
1
2.3
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Tottenham Hotspur W at home plus Arsenal W away).

Players

Key players this season

Tottenham Hotspur W

  • V. Pelova5G
  • O. Holdt3G
  • S. Gaupset3A
  • J. Blakstad3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City W6+1118
2Chelsea W6+1516
3London City Lionesses W6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W6+410
5Manchester United W6-210
6Everton W6-19
7Liverpool W6+27
8Arsenal W6-26
9West Ham W6-56
10Aston Villa W6-66
11Crystal Palace W6-76
History

Head-to-head

1
Tottenham Hotspur W
2
Draws
7
Arsenal W

Arsenal W have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, 70% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-28Arsenal W5-2Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2025-11-16Tottenham Hotspur W0-0Arsenal W
  • 2025-02-16Arsenal W5-0Tottenham Hotspur W
  • 2024-11-16Tottenham Hotspur W0-3Arsenal W
  • 2024-03-03Arsenal W1-0Tottenham Hotspur W
BetGenius

Our record in Women's Super League

58%29 won from 50 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Tottenham Hotspur matches have been extraordinarily high-scoring this season, producing 32 total goals across six league fixtures at an average of 5.3 goals per game. Spurs have yet to be kept scoreless, averaging 2.7 goals per home match, but their backline has conceded 12 goals across their last two games alone. Arsenal have also seen higher totals away from home, conceding four at Manchester City and two in Paris. Seven of the previous ten head-to-head encounters between these sides have cleared the 2.5 goal threshold, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, making over 2.5 goals a strongly supported position.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.