BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Referee
C. Charlton-Fleming
Form

Recent form

Trefelin
20Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Penybont
79Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Penybont to win + Penybont Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Penybont to win + Penybont Over 1.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 72% confidence — a solid call.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Trefelin enter this fixture searching for their first league victory of the campaign, having gathered just two points from their opening seven matches. With five defeats and a minus-fifteen goal differential, the hosts have struggled at both ends of the pitch, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per match.

In stark contrast, Penybont remain undefeated across their first seven league outings, sitting on fifteen points with four wins and three draws. Their form on the road has been equally impressive, collecting seven points from three away fixtures while scoring seven goals in the process.

Penybont also hold the upper hand from their recent head-to-head meeting, having secured a commanding 6-1 away victory against Trefelin in August 2025. Given the stark difference in defensive stability and scoring output between the two sides, the visitors enter this match as clear favourites.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Trefelin at homePenybont away
5
Played
4
0-1-4
W-D-L
3-1-0
0.2
Scored /game
2
2.4
Conceded /game
0.8
0%
Clean sheets
—
80%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Trefelin at home plus Penybont away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
12Flint Town UnitedCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-1111
13Haverfordwest County AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)13-1110
14Ammanford AFCCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-319
15TrefelinCymru Premier (Relegation Group)14-256
16HolywellCymru Premier (Relegation Group)13-302
History

Head-to-head

0
Trefelin
0
Draws
1
Penybont

Penybont have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2025-08-02Trefelin1-6Penybont
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Penybont to win + Penybont Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Both must land · no better than

Penybont to win — 75% confidence

Penybont have established a comprehensive multi-signal advantage across the opening seven rounds. They are unbeaten with four wins and three draws, while Trefelin remain winless with five defeats and two draws. Trefelin have lost two of their three home league fixtures and conceded eighteen goals overall, creating a pronounced quality gap that strongly favours the away side to collect all three points.

Penybont Over 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Penybont have been potent in attack away from home, netting seven goals in three away matches for an average of 2.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game at home and 2.6 across all league matches, failing to record a single clean sheet this season.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Team Total Goals
Penybont Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Penybont have been potent in attack away from home, netting seven goals in three away matches for an average of 2.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Trefelin have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game at home and 2.6 across all league matches, failing to record a single clean sheet this season.

Combo BetWON
Match Winner
Penybont to win
75%
Confidence

Penybont have established a comprehensive multi-signal advantage across the opening seven rounds. They are unbeaten with four wins and three draws, while Trefelin remain winless with five defeats and two draws. Trefelin have lost two of their three home league fixtures and conceded eighteen goals overall, creating a pronounced quality gap that strongly favours the away side to collect all three points.

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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.