BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 1
Venue
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Referee
Genc Nuza, Kosovo
Form

Recent form

Twente
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +10 goal difference

FC Thun
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Twente or Draw

BetGenius backs Twente or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Twente open their UEFA Europa Conference League stage against FC Thun with momentum on their side, particularly when playing on home soil. The Dutch outfit has won each of their last four matches at home, recording clean sheets against Werder Bremen, ADO Den Haag, and Telstar while also edging PSV Eindhoven 3-2. Their attack has been productive, netting thirteen goals across four recorded matches in the competition.

FC Thun enter this fixture displaying inconsistent form, having suffered defeats in three of their previous five outings. While they earned victories against SC Kriens and FC Vaduz, defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in high-scoring 4-2 losses to both FC Zurich and Servette FC. Dealing with an opposing attack that scored seven against Werder Bremen presents a stern test for the Swiss side.

Twente must navigate the absence of S. Lemkin due to a muscle injury, while F. Thorvaldsen and L. Unnerstall are listed as inactive. FC Thun arrive with no reported squad absences, but their fragile backline away from home makes Twente well-positioned to control proceedings.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Twente have won four straight home games across all competitions, including high-scoring performances against Werder Bremen and PSV Eindhoven.
  2. FC Thun have conceded eight goals across two of their last four matches, showing defensive frailty against attacking sides.
  3. M. Pjaca leads Twente's attack with four goals, supported by D. Weidmann and S. Ørjasæter who have three assists each.
  4. Twente's home defence has allowed only one goal across two fixtures in this competition phase.
  5. FC Thun enter with a clean bill of health but have lost three of their last five matches overall.
Availability

Team news

Twente

  • S. LemkinMuscle Injury
  • M. BrunsInactive
  • F. ThorvaldsenInactive
  • L. UnnerstallInactive

FC Thun

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Twente at homeFC Thun away
5
Played
6
4-0-1
W-D-L
3-0-3
2
Scored /game
2.5
1
Conceded /game
2.7
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 4.5 goals per game (Twente at home plus FC Thun away).

Players

Key players this season

Twente

  • M. Pjaca4G
  • D. Weidmann4A
  • W. Weghorst3A
  • S. Ørjasæter3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2FC LuganoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
3BrannPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
4TrabzonsporPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
5TwentePromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
6MonacoPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+46
7St. TruidenPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+36
8HNK Hajduk SplitPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)2+26
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
History

Head-to-head

1
Twente
0
Draws
0
FC Thun

Twente have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-10-15Twente1-0FC Thun
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Twente or Draw
77%
Confidence

Twente hold a formidable home record recently, having won four consecutive home fixtures and averaging three goals scored per home match. With M. Pjaca already tallying four goals alongside creative support from D. Weidmann and S. Ørjasæter, the hosts possess ample firepower. FC Thun have conceded four goals in two of their last four fixtures, leaving them vulnerable on the road, though their ability to find the net makes backing Twente to avoid defeat a well-measured selection alongside an expectation of at least three total goals.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.