BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, Sodertalje
Referee
Jasmin Svraka, Sweden
Form

Recent form

United Nordic
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

IFK Varnamo
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
United Nordic or Draw

BetGenius backs United Nordic or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

United Nordic welcome IFK Varnamo to Sodertalje Fotbollsarena sitting fifth in the Superettan table with 35 points from 22 matches. The hosts have maintained solid home form throughout the campaign, recording five wins and four draws from 11 home fixtures while scoring 20 goals. They enter this contest on the back of a 2-1 away victory against Osters IF, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions.

IFK Varnamo occupy 13th place in the relegation playoff zone with 23 points from 21 games. While the visitors are currently on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, their overall away record has been fragile, suffering seven defeats in 11 road trips and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away fixture.

The previous meeting between these two sides earlier in the season resulted in a 2-0 victory for United Nordic on Varnamo's home turf. With United Nordic pushing to stay in touch with the promotion playoff positions and boasting superior offensive output, the home side holds the advantage heading into this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. United Nordic have lost only two of their 11 home league matches this season, picking up five wins and four draws.
  2. IFK Varnamo have conceded 26 goals in 11 away league games, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per road fixture.
  3. United Nordic won the reverse fixture 2-0 away from home in May 2026.
  4. IFK Varnamo have lost seven of their 11 away matches in the Superettan campaign.
  5. United Nordic have scored 20 goals in 11 home league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

United Nordic at homeIFK Varnamo away
12
Played
12
5-4-3
W-D-L
5-0-7
1.8
Scored /game
1.4
1.8
Conceded /game
2.3
25%
Clean sheets
17%
8%
Failed to score
25%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game (United Nordic at home plus IFK Varnamo away).

Players

Key players this season

IFK Varnamo

  • A. Björnström2G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Landskrona BoIS27+1343
6Oddevold28+1142
7Osters IF27039
8United Nordic27-339
9Sandviken27+535
10Ljungskile SK27-132
11IFK Varnamo27-1232
12Helsingborg27-1131
13Norrby IFRelegation Playoffs27-627
14IK brageRelegation Playoffs27-926
History

Head-to-head

1
United Nordic
0
Draws
1
IFK Varnamo

the last 2 meetings are split 1-1 with 0 drawn.

  • 2026-09-09United Nordic2-4IFK Varnamo
  • 2026-05-31IFK Varnamo0-2United Nordic
BetGenius

Our record in Superettan

64%61 won from 96 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
United Nordic or Draw
76%
Confidence

United Nordic have been difficult to beat on home soil this season, suffering only two defeats in 11 home league games while scoring 1.8 goals per match. IFK Varnamo have experienced significant defensive issues on their travels, conceding 26 goals in 11 away fixtures and losing seven of those matches. United Nordic also secured a comfortable 2-0 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season, making the home double chance a well-supported selection.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.