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Sat 19 Sept · 15:00

VPS vs KuPS prediction

Round
Championship Group - 25
Venue
Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Referee
Matti Roth, Finland
Form

Recent form

VPS
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -7 goal difference

KuPS
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
KuPS or Draw

BetGenius backs KuPS or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Championship Group leaders KuPS make the trip to Lemonsoft Stadion to take on sixth-placed VPS in a pivotal Veikkausliiga clash. The visitors hold a slender advantage at the summit with 43 points from 24 fixtures and will be eager to maintain their position against a VPS side that sits on 33 points.

KuPS have demonstrated strong consistency on their travels this campaign, claiming six victories and four draws from twelve away matches while conceding only ten goals. VPS have been solid on their own patch with six wins from twelve home games, but their recent form has been patchy, oscillating between wins and defeats across their last five fixtures.

Head-to-head records heavily favor the league leaders. KuPS have won six of the last ten meetings across all competitions, with VPS securing only a single victory in that span. Their two previous league meetings in 2026 resulted in a 1-1 draw at VPS and a 3-1 home win for KuPS.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. KuPS lead the Veikkausliiga with 43 points and have suffered only three defeats in 24 league matches this season.
  2. KuPS have lost just twice in twelve away fixtures, allowing only ten goals in that span.
  3. Head-to-head history is firmly with KuPS, who have won six and drawn three of the previous ten meetings against VPS.
  4. VPS have been inconsistent recently, alternating between wins and losses in their last five league matches.
  5. KuPS held VPS to a 1-1 draw at this venue earlier in the campaign before winning 3-1 at home in July.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

VPS at homeKuPS away
14
Played
1
7-3-4
W-D-L
0-1-0
1.4
Scored /game
—
0.9
Conceded /game
—
36%
Clean sheets
—
29%
Failed to score
—
0%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
Players

Key players this season

VPS

  • L. Smyth5G

KuPS

  • J. Moreno6G
  • B. Armah4G
  • P. Pennanen3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1KuPSPlay-offs22+1543
2Inter TurkuPlay-offs22+1342
3HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs22+937
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
History

Head-to-head

1
VPS
3
Draws
6
KuPS

KuPS have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-18KuPS2-0VPS
  • 2026-09-19VPS0-2KuPS
  • 2026-07-25KuPS3-1VPS
  • 2026-06-13VPS1-1KuPS
  • 2026-06-10KuPS0-0VPS
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
KuPS or Draw
74%
Confidence

KuPS have lost just twice in twelve away league matches this season, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on the road. In addition, head-to-head history is strongly in their favor, having avoided defeat in nine of their last ten encounters with VPS. Given VPS have recorded three losses in their last six home matches, backing KuPS to secure at least a point offers strong probability coverage.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.