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Tue 29 Sept · 17:00

Zambia vs Togo prediction

Round
Group Stage - 2
Venue
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Referee
Ali Mahmood Mahmood Ismail
Form

Recent form

Zambia
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -10 goal difference

Togo
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Togo or Draw

BetGenius backs Togo or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Zambia host Togo in the second matchday of the AFCON Qualification group stage, looking to bounce back from an opening 3-1 defeat away to Algeria. The hosts are enduring a difficult stretch across recent fixtures, having gone winless in their last five matches while conceding twelve goals across those games.

Togo arrive in positive momentum after opening their qualifying campaign with a 1-0 victory over Burundi. The visitors have demonstrated solid consistency in recent outings, remaining unbeaten across their last five fixtures with three wins and two draws, scoring in each of those contests.

With Zambia seeking to halt a three-match losing streak and Togo looking to build on their strong defensive display from round one, this fixture presents a clash of contrasting trajectories in group play.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Togo are unbeaten across their last five matches with three victories and two draws.
  2. Zambia are winless in their last five games, recording three defeats and two draws.
  3. Togo kept a clean sheet in their opening group fixture with a 1-0 win over Burundi.
  4. Zambia conceded three goals in their opening qualifying match away to Algeria.
  5. Togo have found the back of the net in each of their last five fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Zambia at homeTogo away
—
Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
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40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Togo or Draw
72%
Confidence

Togo enter this contest in superior form, having gone unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws, including an opening group win against Burundi. In contrast, Zambia have struggled defensively, failing to win any of their previous five matches and conceding three goals in their group opener against Algeria. Backing Togo to secure at least a point reflects the contrasting momentum of both sides.

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Published September 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.