Alpendorada

Casa Pia hold a clear head-to-head advantage having won 3-0 at Alpendorada in their previous cup clash. The visitors have also avoided defeat in their last two away fixtures, beating Estoril 2-1 and holding Vitória SC to a 0-0 draw. Alpendorada have won only once in their last five matches, highlighting difficulties in closing out games. Covering the away win alongside the draw accounts for potential cup tie tension, while Casa Pia's recent defensive patterns, where three of their last five matches featured one goal or fewer, also support a lower total scoreline.

Alpendorada have consistently seen high-scoring fixtures, with four of their last five matches generating over 2.5 goals. They have scored in all five of those games while conceding multiple goals in four straight matches against Machico, Sanjoanense, Rebordosa, and Camacha. Combined with Mação's five-goal display in their 5-0 win over Gavionenses, conditions point toward another open encounter with multiple goals.

Rebordosa have controlled this matchup historically, remaining undefeated in four head-to-head clashes against Alpendorada (three wins, one draw) and winning both home encounters. While Rebordosa have experienced difficulty in front of goal across their last three matches, backing them with a Double Chance covers both a home win and a draw in what is expected to be a tight cup tie.