Colombia

Colombia have demonstrated strong defensive stability, seeing all five of their most recent fixtures finish with under 2.5 total goals. Peru have struggled to maintain defensive resilience, failing to keep a clean sheet in seven matches and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away match. With Colombia holding the superior recent head-to-head record across the last ten meetings and Peru winning just one of their last seven games, backing the home side to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in what projects to be a low-scoring match.

Peru have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road and 2.1 overall, having kept zero clean sheets in their seven recorded fixtures. Every one of Peru's last five matches has produced at least two total goals. While Colombia have participated in several tight affairs recently, their home average of 1.4 goals scored per game aligns well against a vulnerable Peruvian backline to produce at least two goals. Over 2.5 is not sufficiently supported given Colombia's recent low-scoring run, making the 1.5 line the well-fitting total goals call.