Florgrade

Portimonense come into this tie having found positive form on the road, taking successive away wins against Castro Daire and Amarante. That upturn provides them with momentum after an earlier sequence of three straight defeats.

Florgrade were soundly beaten 4-0 in their most recent fixture away to Machico and have struggled for consistency in attack, failing to score in three of their last five games. Four of Florgrade's last five matches and four of Portimonense's last five matches have produced two goals or fewer, pointing towards a low-scoring cup tie where Portimonense have the edge to take a result.

Camacha or Draw — 74% confidence

Camacha have not lost in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Having already defeated Florgrade 1-0 at home earlier this month, they hold a clear edge on their own pitch to at least avoid defeat over ninety minutes.

Under 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Florgrade have seen all five of their recent fixtures finish with two or fewer goals, including scorelines of 2-0, 0-1, 0-0, 1-0, and 1-1. The sole head-to-head meeting between these sides produced just one goal, pointing toward another low-scoring cup encounter.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Florgrade have seen all five of their recent fixtures finish with two or fewer goals, including scorelines of 2-0, 0-1, 0-0, 1-0, and 1-1. The sole head-to-head meeting between these sides produced just one goal, pointing toward another low-scoring cup encounter.

Camacha have not lost in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Having already defeated Florgrade 1-0 at home earlier this month, they hold a clear edge on their own pitch to at least avoid defeat over ninety minutes.

Florgrade carry positive momentum into this cup tie after picking up a 1-0 win over Guarda and a 1-1 draw with União Lamas in August. Conversely, São João Ver have lost two consecutive matches (0-1 to Trofense and 1-3 to Fafe) and remain winless across their two previous head-to-head encounters with Florgrade (one draw, one defeat). Backing Florgrade on the double chance provides solid protection against the draw in a typically tight knockout fixture.