Internacional

Internacional enter this fixture severely weakened by absences, missing four suspended players in Matheus Cunha, Gabriel Mercado, Rodrigo Villagra, and Vitinho, as well as injured defenders and goalkeeper Sergio Rochet. With only four home wins from 15 matches this campaign, Internacional face an uphill battle to dictate play. Botafogo have already accumulated 39 points and possess the attacking quality through Danilo Santos to secure at least a point against a disjointed home side.

Mirassol enjoy a clear head‑to‑head advantage, having won both previous meetings and never been beaten by Internacional. Their home scoring rate (1.4) exceeds Internacional's away rate (1.0) and the visitors are missing several key players, which could blunt their attack. Although Mirassol have been inconsistent, the combination of home form and the injury list tilts the probability of at least a draw in their favour. The overall goal averages for both clubs sit around 2.2 per match, and the recent head‑to‑head games have produced under 2.5 goals in one‑third of the meetings, supporting an under‑2.5 outlook.

Gremio have collected every one of their seven league wins this season at home, recording seven wins, four draws, and only three defeats in 14 home fixtures. Internacional have managed three wins from 14 away games in the league. Head-to-head history also favors the hosts at this ground in 2026, including a 3-1 Copa do Brasil victory in September and a 3-0 state championship win in March. With both teams locked in the relegation zone, the stakes suggest a tightly contested derby where Gremio are well-positioned to take at least a point.

Internacional have maintained a solid home record against Corinthians in recent meetings, avoiding defeat in each of their last four clashes at this venue with two wins and two draws. While both sides have experienced difficult runs of form lately, Corinthians enter this fixture with key injuries to figures such as Yuri Alberto and Gabriel Paulista, and have won only three of their 13 away league fixtures this campaign. Internacional have the tactical setup to secure at least a draw in front of their home supporters.

Sao Paulo or Draw — 76% confidence

Sao Paulo have been resilient at home throughout the campaign, suffering only two defeats in 12 matches while scoring 20 goals and conceding 10. Internacional have struggled for consistency on their travels, losing five of 13 away outings and sitting in 18th position in the standings. Covering the home win and the draw provides a well-supported position based on venue splits.

Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Sao Paulo concede an average of just 0.8 goals per home league match and have seen four of their last five fixtures across all competitions produce two goals or fewer. While Internacional average 1.1 goals scored away from home, Sao Paulo's defensive record at the Morumbi points towards a tightly contested affair.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Sao Paulo concede an average of just 0.8 goals per home league match and have seen four of their last five fixtures across all competitions produce two goals or fewer. While Internacional average 1.1 goals scored away from home, Sao Paulo's defensive record at the Morumbi points towards a tightly contested affair.

Sao Paulo have been resilient at home throughout the campaign, suffering only two defeats in 12 matches while scoring 20 goals and conceding 10. Internacional have struggled for consistency on their travels, losing five of 13 away outings and sitting in 18th position in the standings. Covering the home win and the draw provides a well-supported position based on venue splits.

Yes — 63% confidence

Both sides have shown consistent patterns of finding the net while displaying defensive fragility. Internacional have scored in each of their last three games while conceding three goals in each of those fixtures. Chapecoense have conceded 50 goals across 25 league games this season, keeping only two clean sheets at home, which points toward chances at both ends.

Chapecoense-sc or Draw — 68% confidence

Chapecoense have built momentum with two wins from their last three league fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory against Sao Paulo. In contrast, Internacional have lost three consecutive matches while shipping nine goals in the process. With Internacional also missing key defensive personnel through suspensions and injury, backing Chapecoense to secure at least a point at home offers solid coverage.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Chapecoense have built momentum with two wins from their last three league fixtures, including a 1-0 home victory against Sao Paulo. In contrast, Internacional have lost three consecutive matches while shipping nine goals in the process. With Internacional also missing key defensive personnel through suspensions and injury, backing Chapecoense to secure at least a point at home offers solid coverage.

Both sides have shown consistent patterns of finding the net while displaying defensive fragility. Internacional have scored in each of their last three games while conceding three goals in each of those fixtures. Chapecoense have conceded 50 goals across 25 league games this season, keeping only two clean sheets at home, which points toward chances at both ends.

Internacional have proven difficult to beat at home, recording three wins and five draws from 13 home league matches while maintaining a solid defensive record of one goal conceded per game. Head-to-head records provide strong backing, as Internacional are undefeated in their last nine fixtures against Santos, winning four and drawing five. Santos face key absences through suspension for Lucas Verissimo and A. Barreal, which weakens their spine on the road where they have lost five of 11 matches.

Bahia have lost only two of their 12 home league matches this season and are undefeated in their last five Serie A fixtures. Internacional have won just twice in 11 away games and enter this fixture without multiple regular starters due to suspension and injury, including Mercado, Gomes, Paula, and Rochet. Additionally, the head-to-head record at Bahia's home ground shows Bahia unbeaten across their last four meetings (two wins, two draws).

Atletico-MG are undefeated in their last five league matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have dominated the head-to-head record against Internacional, winning 7 of their last 10 encounters. Internacional have won only 3 of their 12 home matches this season.