Portimonense

Portimonense come into this tie having found positive form on the road, taking successive away wins against Castro Daire and Amarante. That upturn provides them with momentum after an earlier sequence of three straight defeats.

Florgrade were soundly beaten 4-0 in their most recent fixture away to Machico and have struggled for consistency in attack, failing to score in three of their last five games. Four of Florgrade's last five matches and four of Portimonense's last five matches have produced two goals or fewer, pointing towards a low-scoring cup tie where Portimonense have the edge to take a result.

Both sides show a strong pattern of low-scoring affairs leading into this cup tie. All five of Portimonense's recent fixtures have seen two or fewer goals scored, with the team failing to find the net in each of their last three matches against Tondela, Uniao de Leiria, and Leixoes. Similarly, Castro Daire have seen four of their last five matches stay under the 2.5 goal line, having scored just two goals across their last three matches. Given the knockout context and both sides' limited recent attacking output, a low-scoring encounter is the most probable outcome.