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Sat 17 Oct · 15:00

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren prediction

Follow AberdeenFollow ST MirrenFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Aberdeen
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +8 goal difference

ST Mirren
4Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 66% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Aberdeen welcome ST Mirren to Pittodrie with both sides looking to arrest difficult stretches in the Premiership. The hosts sit eighth in the table on eight points after eight matches, having suffered a 1-0 home defeat to ST Johnstone in their most recent outing. Generating attacking momentum at home has been a major hurdle for Aberdeen, who have scored just two goals across four home fixtures this season.

ST Mirren enter the contest one place and two points above Aberdeen in seventh, but they arrive in concerning form. Following a four-match losing streak, the Paisley outfit have failed to score in their last three outings, including a heavy 5-0 defeat at Hearts and a 3-0 home loss to Dundee United. Away from home, ST Mirren average only 0.8 goals scored per game.

With both sides experiencing difficulties in front of goal and four of their last five head-to-head meetings finishing with fewer than three goals, a low-scoring encounter appears the most probable script. Aberdeen have failed to score in three of their four home matches, while ST Mirren have gone scoreless in three consecutive league fixtures.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Aberdeen have scored only two goals in four home league matches this season, an average of 0.5 goals per home game.
  2. Aberdeen have failed to score in three of their four home fixtures in the Premiership.
  3. ST Mirren have lost four consecutive league matches and failed to score in their last three outings.
  4. Four of the last five head-to-head meetings between Aberdeen and ST Mirren produced under 2.5 goals.
  5. ST Mirren average just 0.8 goals scored per match in away league games this season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Aberdeen at homeST Mirren away
5
Played
5
2-1-2
W-D-L
2-0-3
1
Scored /game
0.8
0.8
Conceded /game
1.8
20%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Aberdeen at home plus ST Mirren away).

Players

Key players this season

Aberdeen

  • K. Nisbet4G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+314
5ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9012
6Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9-112
7AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)9011
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
10MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)9-58
11KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)9-108
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
3
Aberdeen
1
Draws
6
ST Mirren

ST Mirren have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17Aberdeen3-1ST Mirren
  • 2026-05-12Aberdeen0-2ST Mirren
  • 2026-04-04ST Mirren2-0Aberdeen
  • 2025-12-03Aberdeen3-3ST Mirren
  • 2025-10-18ST Mirren0-1Aberdeen
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

59%42 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Aberdeen have found goals hard to come by at home this campaign, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match across their four home outings. In three of those four home games, Aberdeen failed to find the back of the net. ST Mirren travel north having lost four consecutive Premiership matches, failing to score in each of their last three fixtures while managing only three goals in four away fixtures this season. Furthermore, four of the last five head-to-head encounters between these clubs have seen under 2.5 goals scored, including both meetings in 2026 which ended in 2-0 scorelines. Given the scoring droughts afflicting both sides, backing under 2.5 goals is well supported by the evidence.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.