ST Mirren

Dundee enter this match in positive form, earning seven points from their last three matches while scoring two goals in each game against Motherwell, Falkirk, and Rangers. They hold an away record of two wins and two losses, conceding just one goal per game on average on the road. By comparison, ST Mirren have lost five league games in a row, conceding fourteen goals across those defeats. Backing Dundee to either win or draw covers two plausible results while reflecting the contrasting form lines of both squads.

Aberdeen have found goals hard to come by at home this campaign, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match across their four home outings. In three of those four home games, Aberdeen failed to find the back of the net. ST Mirren travel north having lost four consecutive Premiership matches, failing to score in each of their last three fixtures while managing only three goals in four away fixtures this season. Furthermore, four of the last five head-to-head encounters between these clubs have seen under 2.5 goals scored, including both meetings in 2026 which ended in 2-0 scorelines. Given the scoring droughts afflicting both sides, backing under 2.5 goals is well supported by the evidence.

Heart of Midlothian have maintained a perfect record on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with eight goals scored. In addition, Hearts have defeated ST Mirren in each of the previous three head-to-head encounters played at Tynecastle. ST Mirren come into the fixture on a three-match losing sequence in which they scored just once. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both a home win and a low-scoring stalemate.

ST Mirren have accumulated ten points from six matches, placing them fourth in the table, and they have scored in every home game this season. Dundee United have lost three of their six league fixtures and conceded 2.33 goals on average in away matches. Backing ST Mirren to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes given Dundee United's defensive record, while head-to-head encounters historically trend low scoring with over 2.5 goals occurring in only 22.2 percent of their last nine meetings.

Rangers have established solid form with three straight wins across competitions and have won three of their four home meetings against ST Mirren in the head-to-head record. Although ST Mirren have started the league campaign strongly with 10 points from five matches and zero goals conceded away, Rangers have conceded just 0.8 goals per game overall and should have enough resilience at Ibrox to avoid defeat.

Celtic enter this fixture at the summit of the table having won all four of their league games with a plus nine goal difference. Historical encounters heavily favour Celtic, who have claimed victory in eight of the past ten meetings between the two sides. While ST Mirren remain unbeaten in league play with ten points from four games, Celtic's offensive record of 2.8 goals per match and strong historical superiority make them well positioned to secure at least a point on the road.

ST Mirren or Draw — 74% confidence

ST Mirren have taken seven points from their opening three Premiership matches, recording two victories and a draw while scoring twice per game on average. Kilmarnock have lost all three league fixtures so far and have allowed an average of 4.33 goals against per game. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat aligns well with the sharp difference in early-season form.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Defensive vulnerabilities for Kilmarnock have led to high totals in their games, with 13 goals conceded across three league matches. ST Mirren have also been productive in front of goal, averaging two goals scored per league outing. Furthermore, the last ten meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 total goals per fixture.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

ST Mirren have taken seven points from their opening three Premiership matches, recording two victories and a draw while scoring twice per game on average. Kilmarnock have lost all three league fixtures so far and have allowed an average of 4.33 goals against per game. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat aligns well with the sharp difference in early-season form.

Defensive vulnerabilities for Kilmarnock have led to high totals in their games, with 13 goals conceded across three league matches. ST Mirren have also been productive in front of goal, averaging two goals scored per league outing. Furthermore, the last ten meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 total goals per fixture.

ST Mirren enter the fixture with positive momentum in the Premiership, winning both of their opening two league games without conceding a goal. Motherwell bring a historically formidable record in this matchup, having won or drawn eight of the previous ten meetings, which makes a straight home win risky. Backing ST Mirren on the double chance accounts for their strong early-season form while retaining coverage for a shared outcome in a fixture where 40% of the last ten meetings ended in draws.