Albania to win — 89% confidence
Albania have a decisive advantage across all statistical metrics. They defeated San Marino 3-0 away from home a week prior and have scored six goals across three Nations League fixtures. San Marino have lost all three group games by three or more goals, conceding 14 goals in total while failing to score. The combination of home advantage, superior form, and head-to-head dominance makes a home win the most probable result by a substantial margin.
BTTS No — 81% confidence
San Marino have failed to find the net in all three of their Nations League matches this campaign. Albania have conceded zero goals at home in this competition and kept a clean sheet in the reverse fixture in late September. Historical competitive meetings between the two also ended in clean-sheet victories for Albania by 5-0 and 2-0 scorelines.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

