18:00

Sat 24 Oct

Alverca vs Arouca prediction

Follow Alverca Follow Arouca Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 9
Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverkaduribajo
Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Alverca

59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Arouca

65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Arouca or Draw

BetGenius backs Arouca or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Alverca welcome Arouca to the Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca for matchday nine of the Primeira Liga campaign. Only three points separate the two clubs in the standings, with Arouca sitting fifth on 14 points in the European qualification places and Alverca close behind in eighth on 11 points.

Alverca come into this encounter looking to rebound from a 2-0 away defeat against Tondela. On their home ground, they have proven stubborn if unspectacular, recording one win, two draws, and one loss across four matches while scoring five goals and conceding five.

Arouca arrive in buoyant mood having put together a three-match unbeaten run, highlighted by back-to-back victories against Estrela and CF Os Belenenses following a credible 2-2 draw with Sporting CP. Driven by forward Barbero with five goals and creator N. Djouahra with five assists, the visitors boast one of the tighter defensive records in the division, having conceded just seven goals in eight league games.

Analysis

Key factors

Arouca have lost just two of their eight Primeira Liga matches this season and are unbeaten in their last three.
Alverca have managed only one victory from four league matches at home.
Arouca possess one of the league's strongest defensive records with seven goals conceded across eight games.
Barbero leads Arouca's attack with five goals, supported by N. Djouahra who has registered five assists.
Arouca away fixtures have averaged just 1.75 total goals per game this season.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alverca at homeArouca away

Played

1-2-1

W-D-L

1-2-1

1.3

Scored /game

0.8

1.3

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Alverca at home plus Arouca away).

Players

Key players this season

Arouca

Barbero5G
N. Djouahra5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	BenficaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)	8	+17	19
3	Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)	8	+11	18
4	Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)	8	+8	18
5	AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)	8	+4	14
6	GIL Vicente	8	+2	14
7	Academico Viseu	8	+1	14
8	Alverca	8	+1	11
9	SC Braga	8	-1	11
10	Estrela	8	-1	10
11	Vitória SC	9	0	8

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Alverca: 0
Draws: 1
Arouca

the last 2 meetings are split 1-1 with 0 drawn.

2026-04-24Alverca2-1Arouca
2025-12-14Arouca1-0Alverca

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%49 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

Featured

Double Chance

Arouca or Draw

68%

Confidence

Arouca have avoided defeat in six of their eight league fixtures this season, including three of their four away matches. Their defensive organisation has been solid, conceding only 0.9 goals per game overall and keeping four clean sheets. Alverca have struggled to turn home performances into maximum points, winning only once in four attempts on home soil. While Alverca won the previous home meeting between the sides 2-1 last season, Arouca enter this contest with superior consistency and attacking balance through Barbero and Djouahra, making the double chance on the visitors the most well-supported approach.

Explore

Alverca vs Arouca prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Arouca

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Primeira Liga

1 published market

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