16:30

Sun 25 Oct

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Follow Estoril Follow Moreirense Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 9
Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Cascais
Referee: Carlos Macedo

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Estoril

26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -3 goal difference

Moreirense

30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Moreirense or Draw

BetGenius backs Moreirense or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Estoril enter matchday nine rooted to the foot of the Primeira Liga standings, having collected just two points from their opening eight fixtures. The home side remains winless in league play this season with a record of two draws and six defeats, finding the net only four times across those fixtures.

Moreirense sit in twelfth place with eight points, holding a six-point cushion over their hosts. While their overall form has been mixed with two wins, two draws, and four losses, they have proven competitive away from home, registering a win and a draw from four outings on the road.

Recent history between these two teams strongly leans toward the visitors. Moreirense are unbeaten in their last six encounters with Estoril across all competitions, a run featuring three victories and three draws, including a 1-0 win in their most recent meeting in April 2026.

Analysis

Key factors

Estoril sit 18th in the table and are winless through eight league matches with two draws and six losses.
Estoril have scored just four goals in eight league games, averaging 0.5 goals per match.
Moreirense are unbeaten in the last six head-to-head meetings against Estoril, recording three wins and three draws.
Estoril have failed to score in half of their league fixtures this campaign.
Moreirense have collected four points from four away matches, recording one win, one draw, and two defeats.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estoril at homeMoreirense away

Played

0-2-2

W-D-L

1-1-2

0.5

Scored /game

0.8

1.3

Conceded /game

1.8

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Estoril at home plus Moreirense away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
9	SC Braga	8	-1	11
10	Estrela	8	-1	10
11	Vitória SC	9	0	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Maritimo	9	-10	8
14	Famalicao	8	-1	7
15	Rio Ave	8	-9	7
16	NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)	8	-9	4
17	Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-14	4
18	EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 2	8	-8	2

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Estoril: 3
Draws: 5
Moreirense

Moreirense have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

2026-04-20Moreirense1-0Estoril
2025-12-07Estoril3-3Moreirense
2025-05-11Moreirense2-2Estoril
2024-12-28Estoril2-2Moreirense
2024-05-18Moreirense2-1Estoril

BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%49 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

Featured

Double Chance

Moreirense or Draw

74%

Confidence

Estoril have struggled significantly for results this season, failing to win any of their first eight league matches and scoring an average of only 0.5 goals per match. Moreirense have already picked up four points from their four away fixtures and hold an impressive head-to-head record against Estoril, having avoided defeat in each of their last six meetings. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on current form and historical precedent.

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