Arsenal have been flawless at the Emirates this season, recording three victories from three league matches while averaging 2.3 goals scored per home fixture. Everton have proved difficult to break down on the road with three draws from three away trips, but their modest attacking output of one goal per away match leaves them vulnerable against top-tier opposition. Head-to-head history strongly favours the home side, with Arsenal winning seven of the last ten meetings overall and five of the last six at the Emirates. Although key personnel absences require defensive caution, Arsenal's overall defensive record of 0.7 goals conceded per game provides a dependable foundation to secure the win, with past meetings pointing towards a low-scoring affair where seven of the last ten matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Round
- Regular Season - 8
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Referee
- Tony Harrington
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Arsenal to win (Match Winner) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Arsenal return to Premier League action at the Emirates Stadium looking to maintain their pursuit near the summit of the table. Sitting second with 18 points from their opening seven fixtures, the Gunners have collected maximum points at home, scoring seven goals and conceding just two across their three matches in front of their own supporters.
Everton travel to London in eighth place on 10 points. The Toffees have demonstrated stubborn defensive organisation on their travels, remaining undefeated away from home with three consecutive draws. However, they arrive following a 2-0 home loss against Chelsea and have struggled to turn solid defensive showings into outright victories on the road.
Arsenal do face selection challenges with William Saliba and Bukayo Saka among those sidelined through injury. Nevertheless, their historical supremacy in this matchup remains pronounced, having won five of their last six home encounters against Everton without suffering a defeat.
Key factors
- Arsenal hold a perfect home record in the Premier League this season with three wins from three games, scoring seven and conceding two.
- Everton are winless away from home in the league, having drawn all three of their fixtures on the road.
- Arsenal have won five and lost none of their last six home matches against Everton in all competitions.
- Seven of the previous ten head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Arsenal boast one of the league's sharpest defences, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per game across their first seven fixtures.
Team news
Arsenal
- W. SalibaBack Injury
- C. TzolisHamstring Injury
- P. HincapieAnkle Injury
- B. SakaThigh Injury
Everton
- V. MykolenkoKnock
Team news last updated Oct 11 (13 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Arsenal at home plus Everton away).
Key players this season
Arsenal
- D. Rice4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | BrightonPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | -4 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 7
- Arsenal
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Everton
Arsenal have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.
- 2026-03-14Arsenal2-0Everton
- 2025-12-20Everton0-1Arsenal
- 2025-04-05Everton1-1Arsenal
- 2024-12-14Arsenal0-0Everton
- 2024-05-19Arsenal2-1Everton
Our record in Premier League
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.2 published markets
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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.