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ChampionshipChampionship
Full time
2-2
Sat 19 Sept · 15:00

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
David Webb, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Middlesbrough
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Middlesbrough or Draw

BetGenius backs Middlesbrough or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Middlesbrough travel to St Andrew's sitting third in the Championship table with 14 points, looking to maintain their promotion push against a Birmingham side positioned tenth. The visitors enter this contest with four victories from six league fixtures, powered by striker W. Lankshear, who has already registered six goals this campaign.

Birmingham have proved difficult to beat at home in league action, recording three consecutive draws with five goals scored and five conceded. However, squad depth is currently tested with several players sidelined, including T. Gardner-Hickman, M. Leonard, D. Gray, and P. Roberts, leaving manager options restricted across key positions.

Historical meetings heavily favour Middlesbrough, who have won eight of the last ten encounters between these sides, including five consecutive away victories at Birmingham. With Middlesbrough consistently scoring across their league fixtures and Birmingham yet to secure a home league win this season, the visitors hold a notable structural edge heading into Saturday.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Middlesbrough have won the last seven consecutive head-to-head fixtures against Birmingham, including five straight wins at St Andrew's.
  2. Birmingham have drawn all three of their home Championship matches this season, scoring five goals and conceding five.
  3. W. Lankshear leads Middlesbrough's attack in potent form, having scored six goals across six league outings.
  4. Birmingham are managing multiple squad absences including T. Gardner-Hickman, M. Leonard, D. Gray, and P. Roberts.
  5. Middlesbrough sit third in the Championship standings with 14 points, having lost just once in league competition this campaign.
Availability

Team news

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

Middlesbrough

  • A. JonesCalf Injury
  • R. PukstasInjury
  • D. StrelecInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at homeMiddlesbrough away
6
Played
5
2-4-0
W-D-L
2-2-1
2.3
Scored /game
1.6
1.2
Conceded /game
1.4
33%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.9 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Middlesbrough away).

Players

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • L. Millar4G · 3A

Middlesbrough

  • W. Lankshear9G
  • A. Cozier-Duberry3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Birmingham
0
Draws
8
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-02Birmingham1-3Middlesbrough
  • 2025-11-08Middlesbrough2-1Birmingham
  • 2024-03-12Birmingham0-1Middlesbrough
  • 2023-10-21Middlesbrough1-0Birmingham
  • 2023-01-02Birmingham1-3Middlesbrough
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Middlesbrough or Draw
76%
Confidence

Middlesbrough have claimed four wins from six league matches this season and boast an exceptional head-to-head record against Birmingham, having won eight of the last ten meetings overall and each of the previous five visits to St Andrew's. Birmingham have drawn all three of their home league games so far and must manage six squad absences through fitness and unavailability issues. Backing Middlesbrough to secure at least a point covers both an away victory and Birmingham's persistent pattern of home stalemates.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.