BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Referee
Anthony Backhouse, England
Form

Recent form

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Southampton
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Southampton or Draw

BetGenius backs BTTS Yes + Southampton or Draw (Combo Bet) at 73% confidence — a solid call.

73%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Birmingham host Southampton at St Andrew's in round four of the Championship season, looking to build on their unbeaten start to the league campaign. The Blues have accumulated five points from their opening three league fixtures, including a 2-2 home draw with Bristol City and away points against Swansea and Sheffield United. However, defensive solidity remains a work in progress, with the side managing just one clean sheet across their three league outings.

Southampton arrive with significant attacking output, having scored nine goals in their three league matches to date. Their firepower was underlined in a recent 5-1 home victory over Millwall, with forward C. Larin contributing two goals in the early part of the campaign. At the same time, the Saints have shown vulnerabilities at the back, failing to keep a single clean sheet so far in the league and conceding in their lone away match at Watford.

Recent historical meetings between these two sides point towards open, end-to-end encounters. Southampton have enjoyed the upper hand, going unbeaten across their last six meetings with Birmingham while securing four victories. Both teams found the net in over eighty percent of those clashes, suggesting another competitive and goal-heavy contest under the lights.

Availability

Team news

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems

Southampton

  • F. DownesAnkle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Birmingham at homeSouthampton away
6
Played
5
2-4-0
W-D-L
1-2-2
2.3
Scored /game
1
1.2
Conceded /game
1.2
33%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Birmingham at home plus Southampton away).

Players

Key players this season

Birmingham

  • L. Millar4G · 3A

Southampton

  • C. Larin7G
  • F. Azaz5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
10Blackburn11+115
11Sheffield Utd11+115
History

Head-to-head

0
Birmingham
2
Draws
4
Southampton

Southampton have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 83% of them.

  • 2025-12-29Birmingham1-1Southampton
  • 2025-12-06Southampton3-1Birmingham
  • 2024-03-02Birmingham3-4Southampton
  • 2023-10-28Southampton3-1Birmingham
  • 2012-02-04Birmingham0-0Southampton
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Southampton or Draw
73%
Both must land · no better than

Yes — 76% confidence

Southampton have scored in all three of their Championship fixtures this season while failing to keep a clean sheet in any of them. Birmingham have also found the net in two of their three league outings, including two goals scored in their solitary home fixture against Bristol City. Furthermore, five of the previous six head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both teams register on the scoresheet, generating an eighty-three percent both-teams-to-score rate across that sample.

Southampton or Draw — 73% confidence

Southampton hold a dominant recent head-to-head record against Birmingham, winning four and drawing two of the six encounters between the sides. While Birmingham have avoided defeat in their opening three league fixtures, Southampton have demonstrated superior offensive cutting edge with nine goals scored in the competition. Backing the visitors to secure at least a point covers both an away victory and a share of the spoils.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Fixtures involving these two sides have consistently produced goals. Southampton's league matches this season average 4.3 total goals per game, with their attack scoring an average of three goals per contest. Additionally, previous meetings between Birmingham and Southampton have averaged 3.67 goals per game, with four of the six meetings exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Southampton or Draw
73%
Confidence

Southampton hold a dominant recent head-to-head record against Birmingham, winning four and drawing two of the six encounters between the sides. While Birmingham have avoided defeat in their opening three league fixtures, Southampton have demonstrated superior offensive cutting edge with nine goals scored in the competition. Backing the visitors to secure at least a point covers both an away victory and a share of the spoils.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%
Confidence

Southampton have scored in all three of their Championship fixtures this season while failing to keep a clean sheet in any of them. Birmingham have also found the net in two of their three league outings, including two goals scored in their solitary home fixture against Bristol City. Furthermore, five of the previous six head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both teams register on the scoresheet, generating an eighty-three percent both-teams-to-score rate across that sample.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.