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Sun 18 Oct · 15:15

Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction

Follow Celta VigoFollow AlavesFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
Referee
Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Celta Vigo
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Alaves
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Celta Vigo or Draw

BetGenius backs Celta Vigo or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Celta Vigo return to Balaidos seeking to build momentum after a campaign largely defined by stalemates, having registered five draws from their opening eight league matches. Sitting ninth in La Liga on eight points, they have remained defensively solid by conceding only six goals overall and keeping four clean sheets.

Alaves travel to Vigo sitting two places higher in seventh with 11 points, though the vast majority of their output has come on home soil. Away from home, they remain winless in league action with two draws and one defeat, having scored just two goals across those three road trips.

Squad depth will be tested on both sides due to confirmed absences. Celta Vigo are without C. Starfelt and B. Iglesias among others due to muscle injuries, while Alaves must cope without the suspended duo of F. Garces and A. Perez alongside the injured M. Rodriguez. Given Alaves' low away output and Celta's tendency to split the points, a closely contested encounter is expected.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Celta Vigo have suffered only two defeats across eight league matches this season, recording five draws and keeping four clean sheets.
  2. Alaves are winless away from home in La Liga, posting two draws and one loss while scoring only two goals in three matches.
  3. Celta Vigo have won six of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these two sides.
  4. Alaves are weakened by disciplinary absences, with both F. Garces and A. Perez serving suspensions.
  5. Celta Vigo matches have been tight this season, averaging only 1.75 total goals per game across eight league fixtures.
Availability

Team news

Celta Vigo

  • J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury
  • B. IglesiasCalf Injury
  • A. NunezGroin Injury
  • M. RomanKnee Injury
  • C. StarfeltMuscle Injury

Alaves

  • M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
  • F. GarcesSuspended
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Celta Vigo at homeAlaves away
5
Played
4
2-1-2
W-D-L
0-2-2
1.8
Scored /game
0.8
1.2
Conceded /game
1.3
20%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Celta Vigo at home plus Alaves away).

Players

Key players this season

Alaves

  • M. Díaz4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+219
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Celta Vigo
2
Draws
2
Alaves

Celta Vigo have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-18Celta Vigo2-1Alaves
  • 2026-03-22Celta Vigo3-4Alaves
  • 2025-11-22Alaves0-1Celta Vigo
  • 2025-01-27Alaves1-1Celta Vigo
  • 2024-08-16Celta Vigo2-1Alaves
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

73%91 won from 124 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Celta Vigo or Draw
72%
Confidence

Celta Vigo have proven exceptionally difficult to defeat in La Liga this season, suffering just two losses in eight games and conceding only six goals overall. Alaves have yet to win away from home, recording two draws and one loss while managing just two goals across three away trips. In addition, Celta Vigo hold a favorable recent record in this fixture with six victories from their last ten head-to-head encounters against Alaves. Backing Celta Vigo to win or draw covers their frequent stalemate results while taking into account Alaves' struggles away from home.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.