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17:30
Sat 24 Oct

Valencia vs Villarreal prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Referee
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Valencia
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Villarreal
47Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Villarreal or Draw

BetGenius backs Villarreal or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Valencia welcome regional rivals Villarreal to Mestalla in round 10 of La Liga, looking to lift themselves out of the relegation zone. The hosts currently sit in 19th position with six points from nine fixtures, having collected just one victory all season. Their struggles at Mestalla are acute, failing to win any of their five home matches, suffering three defeats, and scoring only two goals while failing to find the net in four of those outings.

Villarreal arrive in 12th place with nine points and a balanced goal difference of 13 scored and 13 conceded. While their away record features one win, two draws, and two losses across five league trips, their offensive output remains significantly stronger than Valencia's, averaging 1.4 goals per away game. They will be keen to rebound following a high-scoring 4-3 defeat to Liverpool in European competition.

Valencia's attacking issues are compounded by an extensive list of absences, which severely limits their forward rotation and defensive depth. Given that Valencia have failed to win at home this season and Villarreal have taken points from three of their five road trips, the visitors hold a steady edge.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Valencia are winless at Mestalla in La Liga this season with two draws and three defeats in five home games.
  2. Valencia have failed to score in four of their five home league matches, averaging just 0.4 goals per game at home.
  3. Valencia are depleted by injuries to S. Canos, D. Lopez, U. Sadiq, J. Copete, and D. Foulquier.
  4. Villarreal have scored 13 goals in nine league games compared to Valencia's six.
  5. In the last ten meetings between the two sides, Villarreal have won five times, while 70 percent of matches finished under 2.5 goals.
Availability

Team news

Valencia

  • S. CanosKnee Injury
  • J. CopeteKnee Injury
  • D. FoulquierKnee Injury
  • D. LopezKnee Injury
  • U. SadiqMuscle Injury

Villarreal

  • N. PepeEye injury
  • C. RomeroInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Valencia at homeVillarreal away
5
Played
5
0-2-3
W-D-L
1-2-2
0.4
Scored /game
1.4
1.8
Conceded /game
1.4
40%
Clean sheets
0%
80%
Failed to score
40%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Valencia at home plus Villarreal away).

Players

Key players this season

Villarreal

  • Alberto Moleiro3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
14Rayo Vallecano8-59
15Getafe9-69
16Espanyol9-18
17Racing Santander9-128
18ElcheRelegation - LaLiga29-67
19ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga29-96
20MalagaRelegation - LaLiga210-125
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
2
Valencia
3
Draws
5
Villarreal

Villarreal have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-02-22Villarreal2-1Valencia
  • 2025-10-25Valencia0-2Villarreal
  • 2025-02-15Villarreal1-1Valencia
  • 2024-08-31Valencia1-1Villarreal
  • 2024-03-17Villarreal1-0Valencia
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

73%91 won from 124 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Villarreal or Draw
74%
Confidence

Valencia remain winless at home through five league matches, with a record of two draws and three losses. Across those five games, they managed just two goals and failed to score on four occasions. Villarreal have lost only twice in five away league fixtures and have produced 1.4 goals per match away from home. Furthermore, Villarreal have had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, winning five of the last ten meetings while Valencia have won only twice. Backing Villarreal to take at least a point covers both an away victory and a low-scoring draw.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.