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Sun 13 Sept · 13:00

Celta Vigo vs Malaga prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
Referee
Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
Form

Recent form

Celta Vigo
69Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference

Malaga
21Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
No

BetGenius backs No (Both Teams to Score) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Malaga at the Abanca-Balaidos in a meeting between two sides seeking their first victory of the La Liga campaign. Celta currently sit in 16th place with three points from five matches, having recorded three draws and two losses. Their offensive output has been limited, producing just two goals across five games while averaging 0.4 goals scored per match.

Malaga occupy 18th place inside the relegation zone with two points from four fixtures. Their away record is particularly concerning, having suffered two defeats from two outings without finding the net, conceding six goals in the process. The visitors also face significant squad depletion, with six players sidelined through injury.

Given the low scoring averages of both sides and Malaga's struggles to generate threat on their travels, a closely fought, low-scoring encounter is expected where Celta's home advantage gives them a steady edge.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Celta Vigo have scored only 2 goals across their 5 league matches this season.
  2. Malaga have failed to score in both of their away matches, suffering two defeats and conceding 6 goals.
  3. Malaga are missing six players due to injury: F. Calero, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo, A. Ochoa, and A. Nino.
  4. Both teams have failed to score in 3 separate matches each this campaign.
  5. Only 2 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between these teams saw both sides find the net.
Availability

Team news

Celta Vigo

  • J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury
  • B. IglesiasCalf Injury
  • A. NunezGroin Injury
  • M. RomanKnee Injury
  • C. StarfeltMuscle Injury

Malaga

  • J. CruzMuscle Injury
  • J. LobeteKnee Injury
  • J. MunozCalf Injury
  • D. MurilloKnee Injury
  • A. OchoaKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Celta Vigo at homeMalaga away
5
Played
4
2-1-2
W-D-L
0-1-3
1.8
Scored /game
0.3
1.2
Conceded /game
2
20%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Celta Vigo at home plus Malaga away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
17Racing Santander9-128
18ElcheRelegation - LaLiga29-67
19ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga29-96
20MalagaRelegation - LaLiga210-125
History

Head-to-head

4
Celta Vigo
1
Draws
5
Malaga

Malaga have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2018-03-18Celta Vigo0-0Malaga
  • 2017-10-29Malaga2-1Celta Vigo
  • 2017-05-07Malaga3-0Celta Vigo
  • 2017-01-08Celta Vigo3-1Malaga
  • 2016-05-08Celta Vigo1-0Malaga
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%92 won from 125 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
68%
Confidence

Malaga have failed to score in three of their four matches overall and in both away fixtures. Celta Vigo have also failed to find the net in three of their five league games. Furthermore, only 20 percent of the past ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both teams score.

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Celta Vigo or Draw
74%
Confidence

While Celta Vigo have lost their first two home matches against Athletic Club and Osasuna, they face a Malaga side that has lost both away games without scoring. Malaga also contend with an extensive injury list that includes F. Calero, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo, A. Ochoa, and A. Nino. Covering the home win alongside the draw offers a solid reading of the contest.

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Both teams have struggled to produce goals in the early stages of the season. Celta Vigo have scored just twice in five league matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game, and failed to score in three of those fixtures. Malaga have managed only a single goal in four matches and have yet to score away from home. Historical head-to-head data also indicates lower scoring outcomes, with 60 percent of their previous ten meetings staying under 2.5 goals.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.