BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 30
Venue
Arena Condá, Chapeco
Referee
Wilton Sampaio
Form

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -8 goal difference

Atletico Paranaense
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Atletico Paranaense or Draw

BetGenius backs BTTS Yes + Atletico Paranaense or Draw (Combo Bet) at 65% confidence — a solid call.

65%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Chapecoense welcome Atletico Paranaense to Arena Conda sitting bottom of Serie A in 20th position with 18 points from 28 matches. The hosts have struggled throughout the campaign, winning only 3 league matches all season and conceding 57 goals. Coming off a 4-0 defeat away to Vitoria, Chapecoense face an uphill battle to turn their form around, especially with squad absences including the suspended Fernando.

Atletico Paranaense arrive occupying 4th place with 50 points and firmly in contention for direct Copa Libertadores group-stage qualification. Led in attack by K. Viveros, who has scored 19 goals this season, the visitors possess considerable firepower and have found the net 45 times in 29 matches. While their away form shows 5 wins from 14 outings, their recent fixtures have produced regular goals, including a 2-2 draw with Atletico-MG and a 3-3 draw at Coritiba.

Head-to-head history shows competitive encounters between these two clubs, with 6 of the previous 10 meetings ending in draws. However, the 32-point gap in the standings and Chapecoense's defensive frailties, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per home match, give Atletico Paranaense a strong platform to secure a positive result.

Availability

Team news

Chapecoense-sc

  • HeitorHamstring Injury
  • Rafael CarvalheiraKnee Injury
  • Robert ConceicaoKnee Injury
  • Vinicius BalieiroKnee Injury
  • KauanYellow Cards

Atletico Paranaense

  • G. BenavidezMuscle Injury
  • ClaudinhoInjury
  • K. A. Calderon VargasInactive
  • DantasInactive
  • C. TeranInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Chapecoense-sc at homeAtletico Paranaense away
14
Played
15
2-5-7
W-D-L
6-3-6
1.4
Scored /game
1.5
2.4
Conceded /game
1.5
14%
Clean sheets
20%
21%
Failed to score
27%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Chapecoense-sc at home plus Atletico Paranaense away).

Players

Key players this season

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros21G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B30-3218
History

Head-to-head

1
Chapecoense-sc
5
Draws
4
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 90% of them.

  • 2026-10-12Chapecoense-sc1-4Atletico Paranaense
  • 2026-04-12Atletico Paranaense2-0Chapecoense-sc
  • 2025-09-17Chapecoense-sc2-3Atletico Paranaense
  • 2025-05-09Atletico Paranaense1-1Chapecoense-sc
  • 2021-10-13Chapecoense-sc1-1Atletico Paranaense
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Atletico Paranaense or Draw
65%
Both must land · no better than

BTTS Yes — 65% confidence

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Atletico Paranaense have seen both sides score in each of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 11 goals and conceding 12 across that span. Chapecoense average 1.4 goals scored per game at home and have failed to score in only 3 of their 13 home league matches, but their defensive record of 29 goals conceded in those 13 home games leaves them vulnerable against an attack featuring 19-goal striker K. Viveros.

Atletico Paranaense or Draw — 76% confidence

Atletico Paranaense hold a 32-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and have suffered only 7 defeats in 29 league games this season. Chapecoense have won only 2 of their 13 home league fixtures and 3 matches overall in the campaign. Although Atletico Paranaense's away record features 3 draws and 6 losses, covering the away win and draw accounts for the 6 stalemates seen across their last 10 head-to-head meetings while heavily favouring the side chasing continental qualification over the league's basement club.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
76%
Confidence

Atletico Paranaense hold a 32-point advantage over Chapecoense in the standings and have suffered only 7 defeats in 29 league games this season. Chapecoense have won only 2 of their 13 home league fixtures and 3 matches overall in the campaign. Although Atletico Paranaense's away record features 3 draws and 6 losses, covering the away win and draw accounts for the 6 stalemates seen across their last 10 head-to-head meetings while heavily favouring the side chasing continental qualification over the league's basement club.

Combo BetWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
Confidence

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last 10 meetings between these sides. Atletico Paranaense have seen both sides score in each of their last 5 fixtures, scoring 11 goals and conceding 12 across that span. Chapecoense average 1.4 goals scored per game at home and have failed to score in only 3 of their 13 home league matches, but their defensive record of 29 goals conceded in those 13 home games leaves them vulnerable against an attack featuring 19-goal striker K. Viveros.

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Published October 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.