BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Estadio Municipal de Chaves, Chaves
Form

Recent form

Chaves
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Os Marialvas
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +11 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Os Marialvas or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Os Marialvas or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Chaves host Os Marialvas in the Taça de Portugal Round of 64. Chaves have only one cup match on record, a 3‑2 away win, but their recent five league outings show two defeats and a goal‑conceding problem, with five goals scored and seven conceded. Os Marialvas come into the tie unbeaten in all recent competitions, winning four of their last five games and drawing the other, while keeping clean sheets in every match and averaging 2.5 goals per game. Their defensive record (zero goals against in five matches) contrasts sharply with Chaves’ recent defensive lapses. Both sides have no reported absences, so squad selection is expected to be full strength.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Chaves at homeOs Marialvas away
—
Played
2
—
W-D-L
2-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

1
Chaves
0
Draws
0
Os Marialvas

Chaves have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-10-16Chaves2-1Os Marialvas
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Os Marialvas or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

Os Marialvas or Draw — 78% confidence

Os Marialvas have won their last two cup games without conceding and have scored in each, indicating a strong chance of at least a draw or an away win. Chaves have struggled to keep clean sheets and have lost two of their last five league games, making a draw or loss the more likely outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

The two teams have combined a recent average of more than three goals per match (Chaves 5 in five, Os Marialvas 11 in five). Os Marialvas’ attacking form and Chaves’ defensive frailties suggest the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

The two teams have combined a recent average of more than three goals per match (Chaves 5 in five, Os Marialvas 11 in five). Os Marialvas’ attacking form and Chaves’ defensive frailties suggest the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Os Marialvas or Draw
78%
Confidence

Os Marialvas have won their last two cup games without conceding and have scored in each, indicating a strong chance of at least a draw or an away win. Chaves have struggled to keep clean sheets and have lost two of their last five league games, making a draw or loss the more likely outcome.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.