Chaves

Os Marialvas or Draw — 78% confidence

Os Marialvas have won their last two cup games without conceding and have scored in each, indicating a strong chance of at least a draw or an away win. Chaves have struggled to keep clean sheets and have lost two of their last five league games, making a draw or loss the more likely outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

The two teams have combined a recent average of more than three goals per match (Chaves 5 in five, Os Marialvas 11 in five). Os Marialvas’ attacking form and Chaves’ defensive frailties suggest the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

The two teams have combined a recent average of more than three goals per match (Chaves 5 in five, Os Marialvas 11 in five). Os Marialvas’ attacking form and Chaves’ defensive frailties suggest the total will exceed 2.5 goals.

Os Marialvas have won their last two cup games without conceding and have scored in each, indicating a strong chance of at least a draw or an away win. Chaves have struggled to keep clean sheets and have lost two of their last five league games, making a draw or loss the more likely outcome.

Chaves have faced strong competitive opponents recently and come into this tie following a 1-0 victory over Feirense. Guarda have struggled for consistency, losing three of their last five matches and failing to score in three of those fixtures. While Guarda managed a heavy cup win earlier in the competition against Académico do Fundão, Chaves possess superior defensive organization and the overall quality to avoid defeat away from home in this knockout stage.