BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee
Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Corinthians
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -7 goal difference

Fluminense
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Corinthians or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Corinthians or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Corinthians welcome Fluminense to the Neo Quimica Arena in round 28 of Serie A, with both sides seeking momentum amidst crucial availability issues. Corinthians sit 14th with 32 points from 27 matches, looking to put distance between themselves and the bottom four. While their recent all-competition form has been mixed, they have maintained solid defensive discipline at home, conceding only 0.9 goals per match across 14 home fixtures.

Fluminense enter the contest in fifth place with 45 points, pushing for higher continental positions. However, their away record has been vulnerable compared to their dominant home form. Across 13 away league fixtures, Fluminense have registered only 2 victories while conceding 21 goals, losing their last two away outings against Atletico-MG and Platense.

Both teams must navigate significant attacking absences. Fluminense travel without top scorer John Kennedy, who has 9 goals, and German Cano, while Corinthians are without striker Yuri Alberto. With key offensive threats sidelined and Corinthians prioritizing defensive structure on their own ground, a tightly contested matchup with limited clear-cut opportunities is expected.

Availability

Team news

Corinthians

  • KaykeKnee Injury
  • Z. LabyadKnee Injury
  • RanieleInactive

Fluminense

  • AlissonHip Injury
  • John KennedyKnee Injury
  • Matheus ReisKnee Injury
  • J. SavarinoYellow Cards
  • MartinelliInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Corinthians at homeFluminense away
16
Played
15
5-4-7
W-D-L
3-6-6
1
Scored /game
1.3
1.1
Conceded /game
1.5
38%
Clean sheets
7%
31%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Corinthians at home plus Fluminense away).

Players

Key players this season

Corinthians

  • R. Garro6A

Fluminense

  • L. Acosta5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
History

Head-to-head

4
Corinthians
2
Draws
4
Fluminense

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-20Corinthians1-3Fluminense
  • 2026-04-02Fluminense3-1Corinthians
  • 2025-09-14Fluminense0-1Corinthians
  • 2025-04-16Corinthians0-2Fluminense
  • 2024-08-18Fluminense0-0Corinthians
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Corinthians or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

Corinthians or Draw — 68% confidence

Fluminense have struggled to convert performances into wins away from home, winning just 2 of their 13 away league fixtures this season. Corinthians have been resilient in defense at home with 6 clean sheets in 14 home games. Backing Corinthians to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a Fluminense side managing notable attacking absences.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Corinthians have maintained a disciplined home profile, conceding just 0.9 goals per match at home while averaging exactly 1.0 goal scored. Fluminense are missing key offensive focal points John Kennedy and German Cano, which limits their attacking efficiency on the road. With Corinthians also missing Yuri Alberto, goal production is likely to remain restrained on both ends of the pitch.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
72%
Confidence

Corinthians have maintained a disciplined home profile, conceding just 0.9 goals per match at home while averaging exactly 1.0 goal scored. Fluminense are missing key offensive focal points John Kennedy and German Cano, which limits their attacking efficiency on the road. With Corinthians also missing Yuri Alberto, goal production is likely to remain restrained on both ends of the pitch.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Corinthians or Draw
68%
Confidence

Fluminense have struggled to convert performances into wins away from home, winning just 2 of their 13 away league fixtures this season. Corinthians have been resilient in defense at home with 6 clean sheets in 14 home games. Backing Corinthians to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a Fluminense side managing notable attacking absences.

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Published September 19, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.