BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 13
Venue
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Referee
B. Salazar
Form

Recent form

Deportivo Pasto
40Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Fortaleza FC
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-4D-1L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Deportivo Pasto or Draw

BetGenius backs Deportivo Pasto or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Deportivo Pasto welcome Fortaleza FC in Primera A action with both sides occupying very different positions in the standings. Pasto sit in third place on 34 points and are firmly in the mix for post-season qualification. Fortaleza FC are down in 15th place on 22 points, having struggled to find consistency across the campaign.

Pasto come into this fixture looking to rebound from a 3-0 away defeat against Chico, but their home record includes seven victories and six clean sheets in domestic competition. In contrast, Fortaleza FC have failed to win any of their 14 away matches this season, recording eight draws and six defeats on the road.

Historical encounters between these two clubs heavily favour the hosts. Deportivo Pasto have won five of the seven head-to-head meetings, including all three matches played on their own pitch, all finishing in 1-0 victories.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Fortaleza FC have not won an away league game this season, recording eight draws and six losses in 14 road outings.
  2. Deportivo Pasto have won all three previous home meetings against Fortaleza FC in head-to-head fixtures.
  3. Deportivo Pasto sit third in the table with 34 points, compared to Fortaleza FC in 15th position with 22 points.
  4. Head-to-head encounters average just 1.29 goals per game, with under 2.5 goals landing in 85.7 percent of their seven previous meetings.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Deportivo Pasto at homeFortaleza FC away
18
Played
15
7-3-8
W-D-L
0-9-6
0.9
Scored /game
0.9
1
Conceded /game
1.7
39%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
Failed to score
33%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Deportivo Pasto at home plus Fortaleza FC away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Atletico NacionalPost season qualification19+2040
2JuniorPost season qualification19+735
3Deportivo PastoPost season qualification19+434
4America de CaliPost season qualification19+1033
5Once CaldasPost season qualification19+933
6Deportes TolimaPost season qualification19+1031
12Águilas Doradas19-526
13Bucaramanga19+623
14Llaneros19-322
15Fortaleza FC19-522
16Jaguares19-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19-1417
18Chico19-1717
History

Head-to-head

5
Deportivo Pasto
1
Draws
1
Fortaleza FC

Deportivo Pasto have won 5 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 1.3 goals a game, only 14% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-25Fortaleza FC1-2Deportivo Pasto
  • 2025-10-24Fortaleza FC2-0Deportivo Pasto
  • 2025-05-04Deportivo Pasto1-0Fortaleza FC
  • 2024-09-15Fortaleza FC0-0Deportivo Pasto
  • 2024-03-05Deportivo Pasto1-0Fortaleza FC
BetGenius

Our record in Primera A

71%17 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Deportivo Pasto or Draw
77%
Confidence

Deportivo Pasto hold a substantial advantage in league position and head-to-head history. Fortaleza FC are winless in 14 away games this season, though they have managed eight draws on their travels. Given that Pasto have won all three home meetings against Fortaleza and conceded just 1.1 goals per game at home, backing the hosts to win or draw covers both their home strength and Fortaleza's tendency to split points on the road.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.