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Wed 9 Sept · 19:45

Derby vs West Brom prediction

Follow DerbyFollow West BromFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Pride Park, Derby
Referee
James Bell, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Derby
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

West Brom
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
West Brom or Draw

BetGenius backs West Brom or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Derby host West Bromwich Albion in Championship action with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. The Rams sit 20th in the standings with four points from their opening five fixtures, having conceded ten goals so far. Their defensive frailties have been evident at home, where they have conceded five goals across two outings without securing a victory.

West Brom enter the fixture occupying fifth position in the table with ten points. The Baggies have shown consistent attacking output, scoring seven goals across their league games and finding the net in every fixture this season, led by J. Morgan who has two goals and two assists.

While Derby have held a solid historical record in recent head-to-head encounters against West Brom, the hosts enter this contest managing a lengthy list of absentees including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, and M. Clarke. West Brom will look to exploit Derby's defensive instability to take points on the road.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. West Brom sit 5th in the Championship table with 10 points from 5 matches, while Derby are 20th with 4 points.
  2. Derby have conceded 10 goals in 5 league games this season, including 5 goals conceded in 2 home fixtures.
  3. West Brom have scored in 100% of their competitive games this season, averaging 1.75 goals scored per match.
  4. Derby are missing several key players through injury and unavailability, including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, and M. Clarke.
  5. West Brom's J. Morgan has been in strong form, contributing two goals and two assists.
Availability

Team news

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythKnee Injury
  • S. LangasInjury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • C. TaylorInjury
  • J. Widell ZetterstromKnee Injury
  • E. CashinInactive
  • M. JohnstonInactive

West Brom

  • N. GalvesKnee Injury
  • M. JohnstonBroken Leg
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Derby at homeWest Brom away
6
Played
5
0-2-4
W-D-L
3-0-2
0.7
Scored /game
1.2
1.7
Conceded /game
1.2
0%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.9 goals per game (Derby at home plus West Brom away).

Players

Key players this season

West Brom

  • J. Morgan3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Derby
4
Draws
1
West Brom

Derby have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-01-23Derby1-1West Brom
  • 2025-09-13West Brom0-1Derby
  • 2025-08-12West Brom1-1Derby
  • 2025-04-21West Brom1-3Derby
  • 2024-12-26Derby2-1West Brom
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
West Brom or Draw
72%
Confidence

West Brom sit 15 places higher in the Championship table with ten points compared to Derby's four. The visitors have found the net in every competitive match this season, averaging 1.75 goals per game overall. Derby have struggled defensively, conceding ten goals across five league matches (an average of 2.0 per game) and failing to win either of their two home games this season. With Derby missing multiple squad members through injury, West Brom are well placed to secure at least a point.

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Published September 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.