BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Edinburgh City
24Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -9 goal difference

Kelty Hearts
56Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Kelty Hearts or Draw

BetGenius backs Kelty Hearts or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Scottish Cup action sees Edinburgh City host Kelty Hearts in a knockout clash between two familiar opponents. The home side enters the tie looking to find their footing after a difficult run of fixtures that has left them starved of goals.

Kelty Hearts travel with greater attacking consistency, having registered three victories across their past five outings. They have found the target in each of those matches, showing dependable finishing even when pushed away from home.

While Edinburgh City secured a 3-1 away win when the sides met in September, their recent form shows a sharp downturn in productivity. With Kelty Hearts regularly finding ways onto the scoresheet, the visiting side looks well equipped to dictate terms.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Edinburgh City are winless in their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats.
  2. Edinburgh City have failed to score in four of their last five fixtures, netting just once in that run.
  3. Kelty Hearts have scored in each of their last five games, securing three victories.
  4. The last ten meetings between these two clubs have produced an average of four goals per game, with eight featuring over 2.5 goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Edinburgh City at homeKelty Hearts away
—
Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%
History

Head-to-head

4
Edinburgh City
1
Draws
5
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-09-19Kelty Hearts1-3Edinburgh City
  • 2024-03-30Kelty Hearts3-1Edinburgh City
  • 2024-02-13Kelty Hearts3-2Edinburgh City
  • 2024-02-03Edinburgh City0-3Kelty Hearts
  • 2023-10-07Edinburgh City1-4Kelty Hearts
BetGenius

Our record in Scottish Cup

68%43 won from 63 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Kelty Hearts or Draw
72%
Confidence

Edinburgh City enter this tie winless in their last five matches, failing to score in four of those games and managing just a single goal overall. Kelty Hearts have displayed superior sharpness in the final third, finding the net in each of their last five outings and picking up three wins against Forfar Athletic, Spartans, and Montrose. Although Edinburgh City won the previous head-to-head meeting in September, their subsequent attacking slump makes Kelty Hearts strong candidates to at least avoid defeat over ninety minutes.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.