BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Flamengo
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Botafogo
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Flamengo or Draw

BetGenius backs Flamengo or Draw (Double Chance) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

84%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Second-placed Flamengo host 11th-placed Botafogo at the Maracanã in a high-stakes Serie A clash. The hosts are chasing leaders Palmeiras, sitting six points behind with a game in hand after collecting 45 points from 23 matches (13 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). Despite several notable absences—including the suspended Bruno Henrique and injured playmaker N. de la Cruz—Flamengo remain formidable on home soil, where they have suffered just one defeat in 10 league outings.

Botafogo enter the match in a more turbulent stretch, having lost four of their last five fixtures across all competitions, including a 3-2 league defeat against Atletico Paranaense. With 30 points and an even goal difference (37 goals scored and 37 conceded), the visitors have shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding 20 goals in 12 away games while suffering six defeats.

Head-to-head history heavily leans toward Flamengo, who have secured victory in seven of the last ten meetings between the two sides, including a 3-0 away win earlier in the 2026 campaign. Given Flamengo's defensive stability at home (conceding just 0.8 goals per game) and Botafogo's recent inconsistencies on their travels, the hosts are positioned as clear favourites to take points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flamengo have lost only once at home in league play this season (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), allowing just 0.8 goals per match.
  2. Botafogo have struggled away from home, losing six of their 12 road fixtures with 20 goals conceded.
  3. Head-to-head records strongly favour Flamengo, who have won seven of the last ten encounters across all competitions.
  4. Flamengo's top scorer Pedro (15 goals, 4 assists) provides consistent offensive output despite injuries to supporting midfield personnel.
  5. Botafogo arrive on a difficult run, having dropped four of their last five matches in all competitions.
Availability

Team news

Flamengo

  • Ayrton LucasThigh Injury
  • Evertton AraujoThigh Injury
  • G. de ArrascaetaWrist Injury
  • DaniloInactive
  • S. NiguezInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraAnkle Injury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • Arthur ChavesInactive
  • L. MonzonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Flamengo at homeBotafogo away
5
Played
15
4-1-0
W-D-L
4-3-8
2.2
Scored /game
1.2
0.6
Conceded /game
1.7
40%
Clean sheets
7%
0%
Failed to score
27%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Flamengo at home plus Botafogo away).

Players

Key players this season

Flamengo

  • Pedro16G · 6A
  • Samuel Lino9G · 8A
  • J. Carrascal8A

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
History

Head-to-head

7
Flamengo
1
Draws
2
Botafogo

Flamengo have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Flamengo3-0Botafogo
  • 2026-03-14Botafogo0-3Flamengo
  • 2026-02-15Botafogo1-2Flamengo
  • 2025-10-15Botafogo0-3Flamengo
  • 2025-05-18Flamengo0-0Botafogo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Flamengo or Draw
84%
Confidence

Flamengo have demonstrated remarkable consistency at home with a 6-3-1 record and only eight goals conceded in ten matches. While key absences such as Bruno Henrique, Alex Sandro, and N. de la Cruz could temper their attacking efficiency, Botafogo's poor recent form (four defeats in their last five games) and negative away record (six losses in 12 matches) strongly point toward Flamengo securing at least a point.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.