BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Flamengo
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Corinthians
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
No

BetGenius backs No (Both Teams to Score) at 65% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

65%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Flamengo host twelfth-placed Corinthians in round 27 of Serie A, looking to maintain their position at the top of the table. Flamengo enter the clash on a strong four-match winning streak across all competitions, having kept clean sheets in all four victories, including league wins over Botafogo (3-0) and Mirassol (2-0). With 54 points from 26 matches and an imposing home record of eight wins and just one defeat in twelve league games, the hosts have established significant momentum.

Corinthians arrive in Rio de Janeiro enduring a difficult spell, sitting on 32 points with a zero goal difference. The visitors are winless in their last four outings across all competitions, suffering three defeats against Coritiba, Santos, and Chapecoense before drawing 1-1 against Estudiantes. Compounding their recent struggles is a lengthy absentee list, which includes key attacking contributor Yuri Alberto, alongside Andre, Kayke, Z. Labyad, and Vitinho.

Head-to-head records at this venue heavily lean toward Flamengo, who have won four of the last five meetings hosted on their own turf against Corinthians. Given the hosts' league-best defensive record of 21 goals conceded across 26 fixtures and their potent attacking duo of Pedro (15 goals, 5 assists) and Samuel Lino (9 goals, 7 assists), Flamengo hold distinct advantages across every major performance metric.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flamengo lead Serie A with 54 points and have lost only one of their 12 home league matches this season.
  2. Corinthians have failed to win any of their last four fixtures, suffering three defeats in that span.
  3. Flamengo have kept clean sheets in four consecutive matches, conceding only eight goals in 12 home league games.
  4. Seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have stayed under 2.5 total goals.
  5. Corinthians enter without several players due to injury, including key attacker Yuri Alberto.
Availability

Team news

Flamengo

  • Ayrton LucasThigh Injury
  • Evertton AraujoThigh Injury
  • G. de ArrascaetaWrist Injury
  • DaniloInactive
  • S. NiguezInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Corinthians

  • KaykeKnee Injury
  • Z. LabyadKnee Injury
  • RanieleInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Flamengo at homeCorinthians away
5
Played
15
4-1-0
W-D-L
3-5-7
2.2
Scored /game
1.1
0.6
Conceded /game
1.5
40%
Clean sheets
27%
0%
Failed to score
13%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Flamengo at home plus Corinthians away).

Players

Key players this season

Flamengo

  • Pedro16G · 6A
  • Samuel Lino9G · 8A
  • J. Carrascal8A

Corinthians

  • R. Garro6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
History

Head-to-head

5
Flamengo
3
Draws
2
Corinthians

Flamengo have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-22Corinthians1-1Flamengo
  • 2026-02-01Flamengo0-2Corinthians
  • 2025-09-28Corinthians1-2Flamengo
  • 2025-04-27Flamengo4-0Corinthians
  • 2024-10-20Corinthians0-0Flamengo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
65%
Confidence

Both teams to score has landed in only 40 percent of the last ten meetings between Flamengo and Corinthians. Flamengo boast twelve clean sheets in 26 league matches this season, including seven at home, and have shut out their opponents in each of their last four matches overall. With Corinthians missing key forward Yuri Alberto and averaging just over one goal per game on their travels, the hosts possess a strong chance of keeping their defensive line intact.

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Flamengo to win
74%
Confidence

Flamengo sit at the summit of Serie A with 54 points and have won eight of their twelve home league fixtures, scoring 24 times while conceding only eight. In contrast, Corinthians rank twelfth with 32 points and are winless in four consecutive matches, losing three of them. The visitors also face significant squad disruption with Yuri Alberto, Andre, Vitinho, and Z. Labyad sidelined. Furthermore, Flamengo have won four of the previous five home encounters against Corinthians, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Historical head-to-head fixtures between these sides have been consistently low-scoring, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings producing under 2.5 goals and an average of exactly 2.0 goals per game. Flamengo's recent defensive form reinforces this expectation, having kept four consecutive clean sheets and conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game at home this season. Corinthians have managed only 13 goals in 12 away league matches, indicating another tight contest.

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Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.