BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Referee
Igor Pajač, Croatia
Form

Recent form

HNK Rijeka
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +6 goal difference

Istra 1961
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

HNK Rijeka host Istra 1961 at Stadion Rujevica in this HNL matchday clash. Rijeka currently sit in 7th place with 3 points from their opening 2 league fixtures, having won their sole home game 2-1 while falling 2-0 away to NK Varazdin. They enter this fixture looking to bounce back after consecutive European and domestic away defeats against FC Midtjylland (2-0) and Varazdin.

Istra 1961 arrive sitting 5th in the table with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their start to the campaign has been goal-filled, netting 7 goals and conceding 5, capped off by an impressive 3-0 home victory against NK Slaven Belupo and a 2-2 away draw at HNK Hajduk Split.

Despite Istra's open games early this season, historical meetings between these two sides have consistently produced tight, low-scoring affairs. Across their last 10 head-to-head encounters, the matches have averaged just 1.6 goals, with Under 2.5 hitting in 80% of those clashes.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Head-to-head history has seen 80% of the last 10 meetings finish with Under 2.5 goals.
  2. HNK Rijeka have scored an average of 1.0 goal per game in the league and failed to score in their last two matches across all competitions.
  3. Istra 1961 have taken 4 points from their last two league games (3-0 vs Slaven Belupo, 2-2 at Hajduk Split).
  4. Both teams have consistently deployed a 4-2-3-1 formation in all their league matches so far this season.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

HNK Rijeka at homeIstra 1961 away
3
Played
3
3-0-0
W-D-L
0-2-1
3
Scored /game
1.3
1.3
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 4.3 goals per game (HNK Rijeka at home plus Istra 1961 away).

Players

Key players this season

HNK Rijeka

  • D. Adu-Adjei4G · 3A
  • T. Fruk4A

Istra 1961

  • E. Frederiksen7G · 3A
  • H. Jaganjac4G
  • D. Ahmeti4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Dinamo ZagrebPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1119
3NK VarazdinPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)10+618
4NK OsijekPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)10+417
5HNK Rijeka9+417
6Istra 196110+112
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb10-410
8NK Slaven Belupo10-1010
9Rudes10-147
History

Head-to-head

5
HNK Rijeka
2
Draws
3
Istra 1961

HNK Rijeka have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.6 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-17Istra 19610-0HNK Rijeka
  • 2026-03-15HNK Rijeka0-2Istra 1961
  • 2026-01-20Istra 19611-2HNK Rijeka
  • 2025-09-27HNK Rijeka0-0Istra 1961
  • 2025-04-19Istra 19612-0HNK Rijeka
BetGenius

Our record in HNL

69%25 won from 36 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Historical head-to-head encounters heavily favor a low-scoring outcome, with 8 of the past 10 matches staying Under 2.5 goals and an average of only 1.6 goals per fixture. Rijeka have also struggled for goals recently, failing to score in their last two competitive matches.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.