HNL (Croatia)

Hajduk Split have built a sturdy record on home turf this season, capturing four victories and one draw while allowing just 0.6 goals per game. Varazdin have proved durable with only one defeat through nine rounds and will present a stern tactical test, but their away record includes just two wins in four attempts. Given that Hajduk have won three and drawn one of the last five meetings between the sides in Split, backing the league leaders to take at least a point carries solid probability against the division's second-placed club.

Dinamo Zagreb boast a perfect 100 percent win record at home this season with four wins from four matches, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding only 0.3 per game. Conversely, Lokomotiva Zagreb have lost four of their five away league fixtures and concede an average of 2.2 goals per match on the road. In addition, Lokomotiva have failed to win any of their last four visits to Dinamo in the league, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Istra 1961 enter this encounter with solid momentum, having scored seven goals across three home league matches and remaining undefeated in four straight matches across all competitions. HNK Gorica have struggled to generate results on the road, losing all three of their away league matches while averaging just 0.33 goals scored per away fixture. Given Gorica's winless league record this season and Istra's steady output led by E. Frederiksen with seven goals, backing the hosts to secure at least a point offers strong alignment with current form.

NK Varazdin have been extremely steady at home this season, collecting three wins and a draw while conceding just 0.3 goals per match and keeping three clean sheets in four league games. NK Osijek, while productive in attack, have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road and have lost their last three away fixtures across all competitions. In addition, Varazdin are unbeaten in their last eight competitive meetings against Osijek, winning both of the two most recent HNL clashes.

Neither Rudes nor NK Slaven Belupo has shared the points in league play this season. Rudes enter with a record of one victory and six losses, while Slaven Belupo have registered two wins and five defeats across seven rounds. Furthermore, Rudes have conceded an average of 3.7 goals per game at home, while Slaven Belupo hold seven wins from the past ten head-to-head meetings, suggesting a high likelihood that the contest will produce a winner on either side rather than a stalemate.

NK Varazdin enter this clash in strong form, sitting third with four wins from six league matches and 11 goals scored. HNK Gorica are rooted to the bottom of the table with only one point and have failed to win any of their six matches this season. Furthermore, Varazdin have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten head-to-head meetings against Gorica, including two wins and two draws in their last four visits to Gorica. Gorica's low scoring average of 0.3 goals per game makes an upset unlikely, though the frequency of draws in this fixture supports a solid win-or-draw stance for the visitors.

HNK Hajduk Split Over 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, netting eight times in three home league matches. Slaven Belupo have conceded eight goals across three away league games, allowing an average of 2.7 goals per away fixture.

HNK Hajduk Split to win — 78% confidence

Hajduk Split sit top of the table with four wins and a draw from six league fixtures, including two wins and a draw at home where they average 2.7 goals scored per game. Slaven Belupo have lost all three away league games without finding the net, conceding 2.7 goals per match on their travels. Hajduk have also won seven of the previous ten meetings between the sides without suffering a defeat.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Slaven Belupo have failed to score in all three of their away league matches this season. Across the ten most recent head-to-head encounters, both teams scored in only 20 percent of the fixtures, with Hajduk keeping clean sheets in the majority of their recent home clashes against Belupo.

Hajduk Split sit top of the table with four wins and a draw from six league fixtures, including two wins and a draw at home where they average 2.7 goals scored per game. Slaven Belupo have lost all three away league games without finding the net, conceding 2.7 goals per match on their travels. Hajduk have also won seven of the previous ten meetings between the sides without suffering a defeat.

Hajduk Split have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, netting eight times in three home league matches. Slaven Belupo have conceded eight goals across three away league games, allowing an average of 2.7 goals per away fixture.

Istra 1961 have demonstrated strong scoring numbers at home, averaging 2.3 goals per game across their three home league fixtures. In contrast, Rudes have struggled on the road, suffering three consecutive away league defeats with a high concession rate of 2.7 goals per away match. Additionally, Istra 1961 have won the last four direct clashes between these sides and have never lost a home encounter against Rudes in the provided head-to-head record.

HNK Rijeka have dominated this fixture historically, winning six and drawing three of their last ten meetings against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Lokomotiva have conceded an average of two goals per game in the league this campaign and have suffered four defeats in six league rounds. Rijeka have collected ten points from five matches and possess the defensive organisation and attacking quality to secure at least a point away from home.

Dinamo Zagreb are undefeated through their first five league fixtures, collecting four wins and a draw while scoring twelve goals. Their head-to-head dominance is pronounced, having won each of the past five league encounters against NK Osijek. Osijek have conceded seven goals across their past two outings in all competitions, making an away win or draw the most probable outcome.

NK Slaven Belupo or Draw — 62% confidence

Lokomotiva Zagreb enter this match on a three-game losing streak, all away from home, conceding seven goals in that span. Slaven Belupo secured their only win of the season at home against Gorica and have historically remained competitive in this fixture in Koprivnica, taking points in four of the last six home encounters with Lokomotiva.

Yes — 67% confidence

Lokomotiva Zagreb have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five league matches this season, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road. Slaven Belupo have also been defensively fragile, allowing 12 goals overall, but have found the net in both of their home fixtures. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Lokomotiva Zagreb have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five league matches this season, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road. Slaven Belupo have also been defensively fragile, allowing 12 goals overall, but have found the net in both of their home fixtures. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score.

Lokomotiva Zagreb enter this match on a three-game losing streak, all away from home, conceding seven goals in that span. Slaven Belupo secured their only win of the season at home against Gorica and have historically remained competitive in this fixture in Koprivnica, taking points in four of the last six home encounters with Lokomotiva.

Hajduk Split have dominated this fixture historically, winning nine of the ten recorded head-to-head meetings between the two clubs, including each of the last four. Rudes have had significant defensive struggles this season, conceding fifteen goals in five league matches at an average of three per game. With Hajduk Split entering on the back of four wins in their last five games and scoring in every match this term, the away side are well positioned to secure all three points in a relatively open, high-scoring match.

NK Osijek enter this fixture at the top of the table after securing four wins from their opening five league matches, scoring 12 goals in the process. HNK Rijeka have won their two home league games but have struggled for consistency across recent fixtures in all competitions, winning just one of their last five. In addition, Osijek have won the last two head-to-head meetings between the sides without conceding, including a 2-0 away victory in April 2026. Backing Osijek to avoid defeat provides solid coverage against a Rijeka side that has conceded five goals in four league games.

Dinamo Zagreb possess a decisive advantage across every metric. The hosts have won all three home league matches by an aggregate score of 9-1, averaging three goals scored per game at home. In contrast, HNK Gorica have lost four consecutive league matches and are without a win this season, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match away from home. Furthermore, Dinamo have won the last four head-to-head meetings, which justifies backing the straight home win.