Millwall have recorded two wins and a draw from five home games this term, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match in front of their home supporters. Although the Lions carry several injury absences including J. Coburn and C. De Norre, Lincoln enter in poor momentum following three straight defeats where they conceded 11 goals. Furthermore, Lincoln must navigate the trip without the suspended T. Hamer and C. McGrandles. With Lincoln averaging only 0.7 goals per game across the campaign and Millwall showing steady competitiveness at home, the double chance backing Millwall to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes. Lincoln's away fixtures have yielded just nine total goals in five games, supporting a lower-scoring affair under the 2.5 threshold.
- Round
- Regular Season - 11
- Venue
- The Den, London
- Referee
- Ruebyn Ricardo
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · 0 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -9 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Millwall or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Millwall return to The Den looking to bounce back after a narrow 1-0 home defeat against Swansea. Sitting 11th in the Championship table with 14 points from 10 matches, the Lions have shown decent home form overall, scoring nine goals and conceding six across five matches on their own ground.
Lincoln arrive in 18th place on 11 points after enduring a difficult run of results. The Imps have lost three consecutive fixtures, conceding 11 goals without scoring in their last two outings against Sheffield United and West Ham. While they picked up back-to-back 1-0 away victories earlier in the campaign, their current form is strained further by disciplinary absences.
Discipline and squad depth will be tested here. Lincoln enter the fixture without suspended pair T. Hamer and C. McGrandles, while Millwall are managing their own selection issues with several players sidelined through injury. Given Lincoln's recent defensive vulnerability and low offensive output, the home side hold the edge to secure at least a point.
Key factors
- Lincoln have lost three consecutive league matches, conceding 11 goals across that stretch.
- Lincoln are missing T. Hamer and C. McGrandles through red-card suspensions.
- Millwall have scored nine goals in five home league games, outscoring Lincoln's total season haul of seven goals.
- Lincoln average only 0.8 goals scored per away game and 0.7 overall this season.
- Millwall face selection hurdles of their own with J. Coburn, C. De Norre, R. Esse, M. Ivanovic, L. Jensen, and M. Luongo sidelined by injury.
Team news
Millwall
- J. CoburnMuscle Injury
- C. De NorreMuscle Injury
- M. IvanovicHamstring Injury
- L. JensenMuscle Injury
- M. LuongoKnee Injury
- T. ArconteAnkle Injury
- M. ServaisInactive
Lincoln
- T. DarikwaKnee Injury
- M. MeliaThigh Injury
- F. DraperYellow Cards
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Millwall at home plus Lincoln away).
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | QPR | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | -4 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 0
- Millwall
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Lincoln
all 1 of the last meeting between these two ended level.
- 2026-10-17Millwall2-2Lincoln
Our record in Championship
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.