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Sat 19 Sept · 21:00

Mirassol vs Botafogo prediction

Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Referee
Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Mirassol
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Botafogo
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Mirassol or Draw + BTTS Yes

BetGenius backs Mirassol or Draw + BTTS Yes (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Mirassol host Botafogo in round 28 of Serie A, with both clubs aiming to strengthen their positions in the standings. Mirassol occupy 15th place on 29 points, sitting narrowly above the relegation places, while Botafogo sit 11th on 35 points within the Copa Sudamericana qualification places.

The hosts head into the fixture following a 2-1 away victory over Coritiba, having also earned recent 1-1 draws against Palmeiras and Santos. Mirassol have collected five wins and four draws from 13 home league outings, scoring 17 goals and conceding 19. Their squad depth will be tested with Alesson suspended and Jose Aldo, Negueba, Walter, and Gustavo Silva sidelined through injury.

Botafogo come into the match following consecutive home draws against Palmeiras and RB Bragantino. On their travels, Botafogo have recorded four wins, two draws, and seven defeats, scoring 17 goals while conceding 23. With both sides demonstrating defensive frailties throughout the campaign, this matchup shapes up as a competitive, open affair.

Availability

Team news

Mirassol

  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • Andre LuisYellow Cards

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraAnkle Injury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • Arthur ChavesInactive
  • L. MonzonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mirassol at homeBotafogo away
16
Played
15
7-5-4
W-D-L
4-3-8
1.4
Scored /game
1.2
1.3
Conceded /game
1.7
19%
Clean sheets
7%
13%
Failed to score
27%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Botafogo away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
History

Head-to-head

0
Mirassol
2
Draws
1
Botafogo

Botafogo have won 1 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-04-01Botafogo3-2Mirassol
  • 2025-11-01Mirassol0-0Botafogo
  • 2025-09-17Botafogo3-3Mirassol
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Mirassol or Draw + BTTS Yes
68%
Both must land · no better than

Mirassol or Draw — 68% confidence

Mirassol have proven resilient on home soil, losing only four of their 13 home league games with five wins and four draws. Botafogo have lost seven of their 13 away fixtures in Serie A and have gone four league matches without a win. Backing Mirassol to avoid defeat reflects their competitive home record against an away side that has struggled for consistency on the road.

Yes — 72% confidence

Mirassol have managed just one clean sheet in 13 home league fixtures while scoring 17 goals. Botafogo have also struggled defensively on the road, conceding 23 goals in 13 away games with only one clean sheet, while averaging 1.3 goals scored per away game. With both teams showing consistent scoring ability and clear vulnerabilities at the back, both finding the net is strongly supported by the numbers.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
Confidence

Mirassol have managed just one clean sheet in 13 home league fixtures while scoring 17 goals. Botafogo have also struggled defensively on the road, conceding 23 goals in 13 away games with only one clean sheet, while averaging 1.3 goals scored per away game. With both teams showing consistent scoring ability and clear vulnerabilities at the back, both finding the net is strongly supported by the numbers.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Mirassol or Draw
68%
Confidence

Mirassol have proven resilient on home soil, losing only four of their 13 home league games with five wins and four draws. Botafogo have lost seven of their 13 away fixtures in Serie A and have gone four league matches without a win. Backing Mirassol to avoid defeat reflects their competitive home record against an away side that has struggled for consistency on the road.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.