BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 32
Venue
Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife
Referee
Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Nautico Recife
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Novorizontino
80Excellent

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Novorizontino or Draw

BetGenius backs Novorizontino or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Novorizontino travel to face Nautico Recife in round 32 of Serie B, looking to maintain their promotion push from third position in the table. With 54 points and a plus-25 goal difference, the visitors possess one of the most balanced setups in the division, backed by the attacking duo of Robson with 15 goals and Romulo with nine goals and eight assists.

Nautico Recife sit in 13th place on 42 points and have shown strong form on their own turf, collecting eight wins from 15 home fixtures. Their defensive record at home is sturdy with only 13 goals conceded in 15 games, though their overall record of 11 wins, nine draws, and 11 defeats highlights their inconsistency across the campaign.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Novorizontino sit third in Serie B with 54 points and a goal difference of plus-25 across 31 fixtures.
  2. Novorizontino have avoided defeat in 11 of their 15 away matches this campaign, winning six and drawing five.
  3. Nautico Recife have won only one of their last five matches in Serie B.
  4. Robson leads Novorizontino with 15 goals and five assists, while Romulo has added nine goals and eight assists.
  5. Both teams concede an average of only 0.9 goals per game in their respective home and away splits.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nautico Recife at homeNovorizontino away
17
Played
16
8-3-6
W-D-L
7-5-4
1.1
Scored /game
1.8
1
Conceded /game
0.8
35%
Clean sheets
44%
41%
Failed to score
31%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Nautico Recife at home plus Novorizontino away).

Players

Key players this season

Novorizontino

  • Robson16G · 5A
  • Romulo11G · 9A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Vila NovaPromotion34+1562
2NovorizontinoPromotion34+3161
3JuventudePromotion Play-offs34+1861
4Fortaleza ECPromotion Play-offs34+1260
5CriciumaPromotion Play-offs34+759
12São Bernardo34+946
13Botafogo SP34044
14Athletic Club34+144
15Nautico Recife34-343
16Ceara34-543
17AvaiRelegation34-1037
18LondrinaRelegation34-632
History

Head-to-head

1
Nautico Recife
1
Draws
1
Novorizontino

the last 3 meetings are split 1-1 with 1 drawn.

  • 2026-06-14Novorizontino2-2Nautico Recife
  • 2022-10-15Novorizontino6-0Nautico Recife
  • 2022-07-02Nautico Recife3-1Novorizontino
BetGenius

Our record in Serie B

79%27 won from 34 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Novorizontino or Draw
74%
Confidence

Novorizontino enter this match with superior league position and form, having lost only four of their 15 away fixtures this season while scoring 26 goals on the road. Nautico Recife are solid at home, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, but they have won just one of their last five league games overall. The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw earlier this season, and Novorizontino have avoided defeat in 20 of their 31 league matches to date.

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Published October 7, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.