Nautico Recife

Goias enjoy a home advantage, a superior recent run and a dominant head‑to‑head record (6 wins in 9 meetings). Nautico have been poor away from home and sit lower in the table. The combination of Goias’ better form and the low scoring rates of both sides makes a Goias win or draw the most probable outcome, while the expected goal tally stays under 2.5.

Vila Nova enter this contest in superior league form, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches while conceding just once. They sit 16 points ahead of Nautico Recife in the standings and possess a strong defensive record with 13 clean sheets in 32 matches. Nautico have won only one of their previous five games and suffered a 2-0 home loss in their previous match, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.

Novorizontino enter this match with superior league position and form, having lost only four of their 15 away fixtures this season while scoring 26 goals on the road. Nautico Recife are solid at home, conceding only 0.9 goals per game, but they have won just one of their last five league games overall. The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw earlier this season, and Novorizontino have avoided defeat in 20 of their 31 league matches to date.