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Super League 1Super League 1
Full time
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Sun 11 Oct · 19:00

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos prediction

Follow Olympiakos PiraeusFollow PanathinaikosFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Referee
Alejandro Hernandez

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus
91Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +6 goal difference

Panathinaikos
83Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Panathinaikos visit Olympiakos Piraeus in round six of Super League 1. Panathinaikos have enjoyed a flawless start to the campaign, winning all five of their league fixtures to sit top with 15 points, having scored 12 goals and conceded just two. Olympiakos occupy fifth place with 10 points from five matches, recording three wins, one draw, and one defeat.

Olympiakos have relied on tight defensive margins, conceding just two goals in five games for a goals-against average of 0.4 per match. Going forward, however, they have scored only four times in five league games and average just 0.5 goals per match at home. Their firepower is also diminished by the absence of A. El Kaabi with a broken leg and the suspension of K. Fortounis, alongside injuries to J. Roca and Y. Yazici.

Panathinaikos bring defensive rigidity on their travels, having kept clean sheets in both away fixtures with wins at Kifisia (2-0) and Kalamata (1-0). Coupled with a historically low-scoring rivalry where nine of the last ten meetings have remained below three goals, this derby points toward a closely contested affair with limited scoring opportunities.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Olympiakos and Panathinaikos have produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Both teams have conceded only two goals in five league matches this season, sharing an average of 0.4 goals conceded per game.
  3. Panathinaikos have kept clean sheets in both of their away league matches, conceding zero goals on the road.
  4. Olympiakos have scored only one goal across two home league games and must manage without A. El Kaabi and the suspended K. Fortounis.
  5. The ten previous meetings between the sides averaged only 1.8 goals per match.
Availability

Team news

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • L. BaileyInjury
  • ClaytonOff the roster
  • A. El KaabiBroken Leg
  • K. FortounisMuscle Injury
  • M. MouandilmadjiOff the roster
  • B. PopovicOff the roster
  • J. RocaOff the roster
  • L. ScipioniOff the roster
  • Y. YaziciKnee Injury

Panathinaikos

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Olympiakos Piraeus at homePanathinaikos away
3
Played
3
2-0-1
W-D-L
2-0-1
0.7
Scored /game
1
0.3
Conceded /game
0.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
0%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
0%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Olympiakos Piraeus at home plus Panathinaikos away).

Players

Key players this season

Panathinaikos

  • A. Tetteh4G
  • V. Taborda3G
  • D. Calabria2A
  • I. Louza2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1PanathinaikosPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+1318
2Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+516
3PAOKPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)7+615
4AEK Athens FCPromotion - Super League (Championship Group)6+1314
5Aris ThessalonikisPromotion - Super League (Conference League Group)7-313
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
Draws
1
Panathinaikos

Olympiakos Piraeus have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 10% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-11Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Panathinaikos
  • 2026-05-13Olympiakos Piraeus1-0Panathinaikos
  • 2026-04-19Panathinaikos0-2Olympiakos Piraeus
  • 2026-02-08Olympiakos Piraeus0-1Panathinaikos
  • 2025-09-21Panathinaikos1-1Olympiakos Piraeus
BetGenius

Our record in Super League 1

76%58 won from 76 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Nine of the last ten head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have finished with under 2.5 goals, producing an average of only 1.8 goals per match. Both teams have displayed exceptional defensive numbers in Super League 1, with each conceding just two goals across five matches for a 0.4 goals-against average. Olympiakos have scored only once across two home league games and are missing attacking outlets A. El Kaabi due to injury and K. Fortounis to suspension. Panathinaikos have yet to concede a goal in two away matches this season, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring derby.

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Published October 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.