Super League 1 (Greece)

Iraklis have maintained a solid defensive foundation at home, taking four points from two matches with a 2-0 victory against Levadiakos and a 1-1 draw with Atromitos. They have conceded an average of only 0.50 goals per game on their own ground. Kifisia, by comparison, have struggled for defensive solidity on the road, conceding six goals across three away trips and failing to register an away clean sheet so far. Given that both teams average only one goal scored per fixture overall, Iraklis have the structural advantage to take at least a point.

Levadiakos have failed to score in all seven of their Super League 1 matches this season, remaining completely scoreless across both home and away fixtures. Asteras Tripolis have also had modest offensive production, scoring three goals in four home league games for an average of 0.8 goals per match. Additionally, eight of the last ten meetings between these two clubs have finished with under 2.5 goals, with an overall head-to-head average of 1.8 goals per game. All five of Levadiakos's most recent matches have finished with two or fewer goals, making under 2.5 goals the most compelling outcome.

AEK Athens have been dominant at home in Super League 1, securing three wins from three games with 12 goals scored and zero conceded. Panetolikos enter this match on a four-game losing streak, during which they were held scoreless on three occasions. Across previous head-to-head encounters, AEK have won seven of the last ten meetings, including each of the last four across all competitions. This combination of strong home form, attacking productivity, and the visitors' recent struggles makes an outright home victory the most probable outcome.

Olympiakos combine a superior league position, an unbeaten away record and a defence that concedes only 0.3 goals per game. Kalamata’s defensive frailties and lack of clean sheets make it difficult for them to stay level. The two recent cup meetings were won comfortably by Olympiakos, and their recent form shows they score regularly while keeping opponents quiet. Even with several injured players, the weight of league performance and head‑to‑head history points to a home win.

Panathinaikos have a dominant home record (4‑0‑0, 14‑3 overall) and average 3.5 goals per home game, while Volos concede 1.3 per game at home and have failed to score in several matches. Head‑to‑head data show Panathinaikos winning eight of ten meetings. The gap in league position (1st vs 14th) and recent form (Panathinaikos on a five‑win run, Volos on a long losing streak) all point to an away win.

Aris Thessalonikis have been dependable on home turf, taking seven points from three games with two wins and a draw. Atromitos have struggled to generate results, remaining winless after six rounds with two draws and four defeats, alongside an away goal average of only 0.7 per game. While Aris are well-placed to take points, four of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs ended all square, including their most recent meeting in March. Covering the home win alongside the draw accounts for Aris's superior form while respecting the frequent stalemates in this fixture.

PAOK are the clear favorites based on league position, recent form and superior scoring record, yet OFI’s home defensive resilience means a draw remains plausible. Combining PAOK win and draw gives a high probability, estimated around 78%.

Both sides have averaged more than one goal per game this season and the last ten meetings produced both‑teams‑to‑score in 40% of matches. Given PAOK’s attacking intent and OFI’s ability to find the net at home, a BTTS outcome is slightly more likely than not.

PAOK or Draw — 78% confidence

PAOK are the clear favorites based on league position, recent form and superior scoring record, yet OFI’s home defensive resilience means a draw remains plausible. Combining PAOK win and draw gives a high probability, estimated around 78%.

BTTS Yes — 58% confidence

Both sides have averaged more than one goal per game this season and the last ten meetings produced both‑teams‑to‑score in 40% of matches. Given PAOK’s attacking intent and OFI’s ability to find the net at home, a BTTS outcome is slightly more likely than not.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

PAOK possess a potent frontline featuring D. Pelkas and C. Ndiaye, each with three goals this term, helping the team average 2.3 goals scored per home match without failing to score in any league fixture so far. However, their 3-1 loss to Kalamata showed they can be breached. Iraklis 1908 have built momentum through a five-game unbeaten streak built on a compact 5-4-1 shape that concedes just one goal per game on average. Combining the home side to take at least a point accommodates Iraklis's tendency to draw matches while respecting PAOK's offensive edge.

Head-to-head history heavily supports Aris Thessalonikis, who have never suffered defeat against Kifisia in four competitive encounters, collecting two wins and two draws. Both previous fixtures held at Kifisia were won 1-0 by Aris. While Kifisia have shown discipline at home by conceding only once in three league games, Aris possess sufficient offensive quality through Fabiano, who has scored three goals, alongside playmakers U. Račić and B. Garré who each hold two assists. Backing Aris to win or draw covers the visitors while accounting for Kifisia's stubborn home defensive record.

Panathinaikos to win — 76% confidence

Panathinaikos possess multiple clear advantages across league performance and recent form. They sit first in the table with five wins from six games and boast a perfect home record with three wins out of three, averaging three goals scored per home match. Asteras Tripolis occupy 11th place with only one win all season, are winless on the road, and have conceded in every league fixture they have played. Having also won the last three head-to-head encounters, Panathinaikos are well placed to secure the victory.

Panathinaikos Over 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Panathinaikos have generated consistent offensive output, scoring nine goals across three home league matches for an average of 3.0 goals per game. Forward options A. Tetteh and V. Taborda have supplied three goals apiece, complemented by creators D. Calabria and Santino Andino. Asteras Tripolis have displayed persistent defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten goals in six league matches, including five in their two away fixtures, and have failed to record a clean sheet this campaign.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Panathinaikos have generated consistent offensive output, scoring nine goals across three home league matches for an average of 3.0 goals per game. Forward options A. Tetteh and V. Taborda have supplied three goals apiece, complemented by creators D. Calabria and Santino Andino. Asteras Tripolis have displayed persistent defensive vulnerabilities, conceding ten goals in six league matches, including five in their two away fixtures, and have failed to record a clean sheet this campaign.

Panathinaikos possess multiple clear advantages across league performance and recent form. They sit first in the table with five wins from six games and boast a perfect home record with three wins out of three, averaging three goals scored per home match. Asteras Tripolis occupy 11th place with only one win all season, are winless on the road, and have conceded in every league fixture they have played. Having also won the last three head-to-head encounters, Panathinaikos are well placed to secure the victory.

Olympiakos have built their campaign on defensive resilience, conceding just two goals in six league matches and keeping clean sheets in both of their last two domestic outings. They are unbeaten away from home in the league with two wins and a draw, and they have dominated this head-to-head fixture with nine wins and one draw across the past ten meetings. Panetolikos have stumbled after a bright start, losing their last three matches while scoring just one goal. Covering the draw accounts for Olympiakos dealing with offensive absences, including the sidelined A. El Kaabi, as well as a quick turnaround from their midweek trip to Marseille. A low-scoring match is probable, with each of the last four meetings between these sides producing two goals or fewer.

Kalamata carry strong positive momentum following a 3-1 win away at PAOK and have a clean bill of health across their squad. In contrast, OFI have struggled to create regular chances on their travels, scoring just two goals in three away league matches and losing their last two away games in all competitions. Having played away at Rennes only three days prior to this fixture and missing defender N. Marinakis to injury, OFI face a demanding turnaround. Backing Kalamata to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes while accounting for their lack of clean sheets.

Levadiakos enter this fixture having failed to score a single goal across their opening six league fixtures, collecting only one point from a 0-0 draw and losing their other five matches. With zero goals scored and eleven conceded, the hosts have shown little ability to generate consistent attacking threat, losing all three of their home fixtures by two or more goals to nil. Volos NFC have had defensive issues of their own, conceding twelve goals, but they have consistently found the back of the net, scoring six goals in six matches and converting against tough opposition such as Olympiakos, AEK Athens, and Aris. While Levadiakos have historically held the upper hand in this fixture with seven wins in the last ten meetings, their current total goal drought severely limits their ability to take maximum points. Backing Volos NFC to earn at least a draw reflects the significant difference in attacking potency between the two struggling sides.

PAOK possess an overwhelming set of advantages across all primary metrics. They have won both of their home fixtures this season by an aggregate score of 6-0, averaging three goals scored per home match while conceding zero. Kalamata are winless away from home with a single goal scored in two outings and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their five league matches. With Pelkas already on three goals and PAOK having won both previous encounters 2-0, backing a straight home victory is thoroughly justified by the multi-signal statistical mismatch.

PAOK have scored 12 goals in five league matches this season, averaging three goals per game across their two home appearances where they have recorded decisive multi-goal victories. Kalamata have conceded eight times in five matches and have kept zero clean sheets, meaning the hosts should create regular scoring chances. However, Kalamata have managed only one goal across two away fixtures and face a PAOK defence that has not conceded at home in the league. Both historical cup meetings between these sides finished 2-0. Because Kalamata offer limited threat away from home, a third goal cannot be relied upon, making over 1.5 goals a far more grounded expectation than the higher line.

Nine of the last ten head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have finished with under 2.5 goals, producing an average of only 1.8 goals per match. Both teams have displayed exceptional defensive numbers in Super League 1, with each conceding just two goals across five matches for a 0.4 goals-against average. Olympiakos have scored only once across two home league games and are missing attacking outlets A. El Kaabi due to injury and K. Fortounis to suspension. Panathinaikos have yet to concede a goal in two away matches this season, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring derby.

Aris Thessalonikis or Draw — 77% confidence

Aris Thessalonikis have maintained an undefeated home record through two league matches, collecting a win and a draw while conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Volos NFC have struggled for traction this season, sitting winless in five rounds and losing both of their away trips. Furthermore, Aris hold a commanding historical advantage in this head-to-head matchup, claiming seven victories and two draws from the past ten meetings. Covering both the home win and the draw aligns closely with both teams' respective home and away profiles.

Volos NFC Under 1.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Volos have managed just one goal across two away fixtures this season, averaging 0.5 goals per match on the road. Aris have been disciplined defensively when playing at home, conceding only one goal in two matches and recording shutouts against Marko and Iraklis 1908. With Volos generating limited attacking output away from home, the visitors are unlikely to surpass one goal.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Volos have managed just one goal across two away fixtures this season, averaging 0.5 goals per match on the road. Aris have been disciplined defensively when playing at home, conceding only one goal in two matches and recording shutouts against Marko and Iraklis 1908. With Volos generating limited attacking output away from home, the visitors are unlikely to surpass one goal.

Aris Thessalonikis have maintained an undefeated home record through two league matches, collecting a win and a draw while conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Volos NFC have struggled for traction this season, sitting winless in five rounds and losing both of their away trips. Furthermore, Aris hold a commanding historical advantage in this head-to-head matchup, claiming seven victories and two draws from the past ten meetings. Covering both the home win and the draw aligns closely with both teams' respective home and away profiles.

Panetolikos or Draw — 74% confidence

Panetolikos have shown superior form across the opening five rounds with three wins and nine points compared to Kifisia's single victory and five points. Historical precedent strongly reinforces Panetolikos avoiding defeat here, as they remain unbeaten in all four previous away encounters against Kifisia with one win and three draws. Furthermore, Kifisia have yet to record a home victory in the league this season, drawing both of their matches on home soil.

Under 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Kifisia's home fixtures have been particularly low-scoring, producing an average of just 1.0 total goal per game with 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded across two outings. Across their seven head-to-head meetings, the average total stands at exactly 2.0 goals per match, with under 2.5 goals landing in 57.1% of those encounters including a 0-0 draw and a 1-1 stalemate in recent meetings at this ground.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Kifisia's home fixtures have been particularly low-scoring, producing an average of just 1.0 total goal per game with 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded across two outings. Across their seven head-to-head meetings, the average total stands at exactly 2.0 goals per match, with under 2.5 goals landing in 57.1% of those encounters including a 0-0 draw and a 1-1 stalemate in recent meetings at this ground.

Panetolikos have shown superior form across the opening five rounds with three wins and nine points compared to Kifisia's single victory and five points. Historical precedent strongly reinforces Panetolikos avoiding defeat here, as they remain unbeaten in all four previous away encounters against Kifisia with one win and three draws. Furthermore, Kifisia have yet to record a home victory in the league this season, drawing both of their matches on home soil.

Iraklis 1908 or Draw — 76% confidence

Iraklis 1908 have found stability after matchday one, assembling a four-game unbeaten sequence that includes a 2-0 away win at Asteras Tripolis and a 0-0 draw at Aris. Levadiakos sit at the foot of the table with just one point from five matches and have yet to score a goal all season. Backing Iraklis on the double chance provides solid security against another draw, which has been the outcome in three of their last four matches.

Under 2.5 Goals — 73% confidence

Under 2.5 goals has landed in four of the five league matches played by Iraklis and four of the five matches played by Levadiakos this season. Levadiakos have scored zero goals in five games, while Iraklis average under a goal scored per game and regularly deploy five defenders. The previous two head-to-head meetings between these sides produced scorelines of 1-0 and 2-0, further supporting a low total.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Levadiakos have drawn blanks in five consecutive league fixtures this season, failing to score against any opponent home or away. Iraklis have kept two clean sheets across five games and conceded just two goals in their last four matches combined. Given Levadiakos's extended scoreless run and Iraklis's conservative tactical setup, at least one clean sheet is the most probable outcome.

Under 2.5 goals has landed in four of the five league matches played by Iraklis and four of the five matches played by Levadiakos this season. Levadiakos have scored zero goals in five games, while Iraklis average under a goal scored per game and regularly deploy five defenders. The previous two head-to-head meetings between these sides produced scorelines of 1-0 and 2-0, further supporting a low total.