BetGenius
Round
Round of 128
Form

Recent form

Paredes
82Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +8 goal difference

Maria da Fonte
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Paredes or Draw

BetGenius backs Paredes or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Paredes enter this Taça de Portugal encounter in encouraging form, having secured victories in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent sequence includes wins against Fafe, Varzim, Ermesinde, and Paços de Ferreira, demonstrating consistent offensive output having scored in each of those five outings.

Maria da Fonte, meanwhile, arrive following back-to-back defeats against SC Braga B and Brito. Over their last five fixtures, the visitors have recorded two wins and three losses, struggling for defensive stability in recent weeks with six goals conceded in their last two matches.

With knockout progression at stake, Paredes will aim to capitalize on their positive momentum and home advantage against an opponent looking to rebound from recent defensive difficulties.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Paredes have won four of their previous five competitive fixtures.
  2. Paredes have scored in every one of their last five matches.
  3. Maria da Fonte have lost three of their last four games.
  4. Maria da Fonte conceded six goals across their last two competitive outings.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Paredes at homeMaria da Fonte away
1
Played
—
1-0-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Paredes or Draw
75%
Confidence

Paredes have won four of their last five matches and have consistently found the back of the net throughout that run. In contrast, Maria da Fonte enter on the back of consecutive losses, having conceded six goals across those two fixtures. Backing Paredes to win or draw covers the primary outcomes given the contrasting recent form between the two sides.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.