Maria da Fonte

Paredes have won four of their last five matches and have consistently found the back of the net throughout that run. In contrast, Maria da Fonte enter on the back of consecutive losses, having conceded six goals across those two fixtures. Backing Paredes to win or draw covers the primary outcomes given the contrasting recent form between the two sides.

Recent fixtures for both clubs reflect low overall scoring. Maria da Fonte's three 2026 matches finished with scorelines of 0-1, 1-0, and 0-2, all remaining under 2.5 total goals. Similarly, União Nogueirense's last two recorded matches were decided by 1-0 margins (a 1-0 win and a 0-1 loss). The combination of cautious knockout football and restrained offensive output supports a match under the 2.5 goal line.