BetGenius
Round
Clausura - 7
Venue
Estadio El Campin, Bogota
Form

Recent form

Santa Fe
63Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Jaguares
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Santa Fe to win

BetGenius backs Santa Fe to win (Match Winner) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Santa Fe enter the Clausura round 7 clash with Jaguares buoyed by a solid home record and a recent run of three wins in five matches. Their league standing in the post‑season qualification zone (7th, 29 points) reflects a balanced side that scores close to two goals per game at home and keeps a respectable defensive record.

Jaguares sit just above the relegation zone in 16th place with only 18 points and a negative goal difference of‑13. They have struggled to find the net away from home, averaging less than one goal per match, and have conceded over two goals on average when playing away.

Historical meetings heavily favour Santa Fe, especially at home where they have won all four recent encounters. The latest head‑to‑head meeting was a 3‑1 victory for Santa Fe. Combining form, venue advantage and the statistical gap suggests Santa Fe are clear favourites.

Both teams have relatively low scoring averages, so the total goal tally is expected to hover around the 2.5‑goal mark, leaning slightly towards an under‑2.5 outcome.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Santa Fe rank 7 with 29 points, Jaguares rank 16 with 18 points – a clear points gap.
  2. Home scoring average for Santa Fe is 1.8, while Jaguares average only 0.7 goals away.
  3. Santa Fe have won all four recent home encounters against Jaguares.
  4. Jaguares have not kept an away clean sheet this season and concede 2.2 goals per away game.
  5. Recent form: Santa Fe W W D D L, Jaguares W L L L D – Santa Fe in better shape.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Santa Fe at homeJaguares away
18
Played
14
8-7-3
W-D-L
0-3-11
1.8
Scored /game
0.7
1
Conceded /game
2.2
28%
Clean sheets
0%
17%
Failed to score
50%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Santa Fe at home plus Jaguares away).

Players

Key players this season

Santa Fe

  • H. Rodallega14G
  • O. Fernández8A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4America de CaliPost season qualification19+1033
5Once CaldasPost season qualification19+933
6Deportes TolimaPost season qualification19+1031
7Santa FePost season qualification19+729
8Internacional de BogotaPost season qualification19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
13Bucaramanga19+623
14Llaneros19-322
15Fortaleza FC19-522
16Jaguares19-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19-1417
18Chico19-1717
19Cucuta19-1316
History

Head-to-head

5
Santa Fe
1
Draws
3
Jaguares

Santa Fe have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-02-17Jaguares3-1Santa Fe
  • 2024-11-15Santa Fe3-0Jaguares
  • 2024-04-28Jaguares1-0Santa Fe
  • 2023-07-20Santa Fe1-0Jaguares
  • 2023-01-27Jaguares2-2Santa Fe
BetGenius

Our record in Primera A

71%17 won from 24 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Match Winner
Santa Fe to win
68%
Confidence

Santa Fe’s home form (1.8 goals per game, five clean sheets) and recent three‑win streak contrast with Jaguares’ poor away record (0.7 goals per game, no away clean sheets). Santa Fe sit ten points above Jaguares in the table and have a perfect home record in the last four head‑to‑head meetings. Jaguares have also failed to score in seven away matches this season, increasing the likelihood of a Santa Fe win while keeping the total goals under 2.5.

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Published October 13, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.