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Fri 11 Sept · 20:00

Sevilla vs Valencia prediction

Round
Regular Season - 5
Venue
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Form

Recent form

Sevilla
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Valencia
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Sevilla or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Sevilla or Draw (Combo Bet) at 67% confidence — a solid call.

67%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Sevilla welcome Valencia to the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan in matchday five of La Liga, with the two clubs experiencing contrasting starts to the domestic season. Sevilla enter the fixture in sixth place with seven points from four matches, having picked up victories against Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club alongside a draw at Espanyol. Their only defeat came against Atletico Madrid, and they have scored in every competitive fixture played so far.

Valencia travel south in search of stability after a difficult start that leaves them bottom of the standings in 20th place with a single point. Los Che have managed just one goal across four league matches and conceded nine, including a heavy 5-0 home loss to Barcelona in their most recent outing. The visitors are also heavily depleted by a long injury list affecting several regular contributors.

Historically, this fixture has produced tight and competitive encounters, with five draws across the last ten meetings between the sides. However, Sevilla's offensive consistency and home advantage give them an edge against a Valencia side struggling for goals and defensive cohesion.

Availability

Team news

Sevilla

  • J. GuridiMuscle Injury
  • MarcaoMuscle Injury
  • M. SierraShoulder Injury
  • G. KochorashviliInjury
  • I. RomeroRed Card

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Valencia

  • S. CanosKnee Injury
  • J. CopeteKnee Injury
  • D. FoulquierKnee Injury
  • D. LopezKnee Injury
  • U. SadiqMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sevilla at homeValencia away
4
Played
4
2-0-2
W-D-L
1-1-2
1.3
Scored /game
1
1.8
Conceded /game
1.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Sevilla at home plus Valencia away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3Real MadridPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+1421
4Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+219
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
16Espanyol9-18
17Racing Santander9-128
18ElcheRelegation - LaLiga29-67
19ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga29-96
20MalagaRelegation - LaLiga210-125
History

Head-to-head

2
Sevilla
5
Draws
3
Valencia

Valencia have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-03-21Sevilla0-2Valencia
  • 2025-12-07Valencia1-1Sevilla
  • 2025-04-11Valencia1-0Sevilla
  • 2025-01-11Sevilla1-1Valencia
  • 2024-02-17Valencia0-0Sevilla
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%92 won from 125 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Sevilla or Draw
67%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Head-to-head history heavily points towards lower-scoring affairs, with 80 percent of the last ten meetings staying under the 2.5-goal threshold and generating an average of 2.0 goals per match. Valencia have consistently set up in a 5-4-1 formation and have struggled to generate attacking output, failing to score in three of their four league fixtures this season.

Sevilla or Draw — 78% confidence

Sevilla have collected seven points from their opening four matches and have scored in each one, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Valencia sit 20th in the table with only one point, having lost three of their four league games while dealing with nine reported injuries across their squad. Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have ended level, making the double chance on Sevilla a well-supported position that covers both a home win and a share of the points.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Sevilla or Draw
78%
Confidence

Sevilla have collected seven points from their opening four matches and have scored in each one, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Valencia sit 20th in the table with only one point, having lost three of their four league games while dealing with nine reported injuries across their squad. Five of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams have ended level, making the double chance on Sevilla a well-supported position that covers both a home win and a share of the points.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
Confidence

Head-to-head history heavily points towards lower-scoring affairs, with 80 percent of the last ten meetings staying under the 2.5-goal threshold and generating an average of 2.0 goals per match. Valencia have consistently set up in a 5-4-1 formation and have struggled to generate attacking output, failing to score in three of their four league fixtures this season.

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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.